Ducks at Islanders: NHL, Oct 20, 2026

Model pick: Islanders (58%), locked Oct 20; Islanders won 3–2 (graded a hit).

Anaheim Ducks

New York Islanders

2–3

Final

Win probability

ANA 42%

58% NYI

New York Islanders won, 3–2. The pick was New York Islanders at 58% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

NYI by 0.4

goals

NYI win probability

58%

overtime and shootout included

Right at this confidence

55%

Won 29 of 53 at 55–60% · 90% range 44–65%

Winner picks only; a game decided in overtime or a shootout counts like any other. Where books price a game, the win probability is the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before puck drop and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.