Avalanche at Flyers: NHL, Oct 19, 2026

Model pick: Avalanche (68%), locked Oct 19; Flyers won 3–2 (graded a miss).

Colorado Avalanche

Philadelphia Flyers

2–3

Final

Win probability

COL 68%

32% PHI

Philadelphia Flyers won, 3–2. The pick was Colorado Avalanche at 68% — incorrect.

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Margin the probability implies

COL by 1.0

goals

COL win probability

68%

overtime and shootout included

Right at this confidence

12 of 19

Too early to read: 19 graded at 65–70%

Winner picks only; a game decided in overtime or a shootout counts like any other. Where books price a game, the win probability is the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before puck drop and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.