Sharks at Red Wings: NHL, Oct 17, 2026

Model pick: Red Wings (56%), locked Oct 17; Red Wings won 4–3 (graded a hit).

San Jose Sharks

Detroit Red Wings

3–4

Final (SO)

Win probability

SJ 44%

56% DET

Detroit Red Wings won, 4–3. The pick was Detroit Red Wings at 56% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

DET by 0.3

goals

DET win probability

56%

overtime and shootout included

Right at this confidence

54%

Won 28 of 52 at 55–60% · 90% range 43–65%

Winner picks only; a game decided in overtime or a shootout counts like any other. Where books price a game, the win probability is the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before puck drop and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.