Hawks at Hornets: NBA, Oct 23, 2026

Model pick: Hawks (54%), locked Oct 23; Hawks won 128–81 (graded a hit).

Atlanta Hawks

Charlotte Hornets

128–81

Final

Win probability

ATL 54%

46% CHA

Atlanta Hawks won, 128–81. The pick was Atlanta Hawks at 54% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

ATL by 1.1

ATL win probability

54%

Right at this confidence

13 of 23

Too early to read: 23 graded at 50–60%

Winner picks only. Where books price a game, the win probability follows the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model works →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.