Knicks at Celtics: NBA, Oct 23, 2026

Model pick: Celtics (56%), locked Oct 23; Celtics won 107–103 (graded a hit).

New York Knicks

Boston Celtics

103–107

Final

Win probability

NYK 44%

56% BOS

Boston Celtics won, 107–103. The pick was Boston Celtics at 56% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

BOS by 1.4

BOS win probability

56%

Right at this confidence

13 of 23

Too early to read: 23 graded at 50–60%

Winner picks only. Where books price a game, the win probability follows the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model works →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.