Warriors at Lakers: NBA, Oct 21, 2026

Model pick: Lakers (67%), locked Oct 21; Lakers won 127–105 (graded a hit).

Golden State Warriors

Los Angeles Lakers

105–127

Final

Win probability

GSW 33%

67% LAL

Los Angeles Lakers won, 127–105. The pick was Los Angeles Lakers at 67% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

LAL by 4.4

LAL win probability

67%

Right at this confidence

9 of 14

Too early to read: 14 graded at 60–70%

Winner picks only. Where books price a game, the win probability follows the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model works →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.