Mavericks at Rockets: NBA, Oct 21, 2026

Model pick: Rockets (78%), locked Oct 21; Rockets won 128–110 (graded a hit).

Dallas Mavericks

Houston Rockets

110–128

Final

Win probability

DAL 22%

78% HOU

Houston Rockets won, 128–110. The pick was Houston Rockets at 78% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

HOU by 7.7

HOU win probability

78%

Right at this confidence

9 of 12

Too early to read: 12 graded at 70–80%

Winner picks only. Where books price a game, the win probability follows the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model works →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.