Pacers at Pelicans: NBA, Oct 21, 2026

Model pick: Pacers (55%), locked Oct 21; Pacers won 123–120 (graded a hit).

Indiana Pacers

New Orleans Pelicans

123–120

Final

Win probability

IND 55%

45% NOP

Indiana Pacers won, 123–120. The pick was Indiana Pacers at 55% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

IND by 1.3

IND win probability

55%

Right at this confidence

13 of 23

Too early to read: 23 graded at 50–60%

Winner picks only. Where books price a game, the win probability follows the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model works →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.