Hawks at Magic: NBA, Oct 21, 2026

Model pick: Magic (55%), locked Oct 21; Hawks won 132–125 (graded a miss).

Atlanta Hawks

Orlando Magic

132–125

Final

Win probability

ATL 45%

55% ORL

Atlanta Hawks won, 132–125. The pick was Orlando Magic at 55% — incorrect.

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Margin the probability implies

ORL by 1.3

ORL win probability

55%

Right at this confidence

13 of 23

Too early to read: 23 graded at 50–60%

Winner picks only. Where books price a game, the win probability follows the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model works →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.