Thunder at Spurs: NBA, Oct 20, 2026

Model pick: Thunder (51%), locked Oct 20; Thunder won 116–104 (graded a hit).

Oklahoma City Thunder

San Antonio Spurs

116–104

Final

Win probability

OKC 51%

49% SAS

Oklahoma City Thunder won, 116–104. The pick was Oklahoma City Thunder at 51% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

OKC by 0.3

OKC win probability

51%

Right at this confidence

13 of 23

Too early to read: 23 graded at 50–60%

Winner picks only. Where books price a game, the win probability follows the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model works →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.