Celtics at Pistons: NBA, Oct 20, 2026

Model pick: Celtics (52%), locked Oct 20; Pistons won 121–113 (graded a miss).

Boston Celtics

Detroit Pistons

113–121

Final

Win probability

BOS 52%

48% DET

Detroit Pistons won, 121–113. The pick was Boston Celtics at 52% — incorrect.

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Margin the probability implies

BOS by 0.4

BOS win probability

52%

Right at this confidence

13 of 23

Too early to read: 23 graded at 50–60%

Winner picks only. Where books price a game, the win probability follows the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model works →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.