Predictions · Free pick
Free pick of the week
Each week one NFL and one college football pick is open to everyone: the game the model is most sure about. It is locked before kickoff and graded in public with every other pick. The most confident pick is usually a big favorite: the easiest call of the week, not a claim of value against the price.
NFL free pickThe model's winner call for this game, as on its prediction page.
Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals · Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
Cincinnati Bengals 82%win chance, built on the market's no-vig price
The full prediction: the read, the factors and the market →61%65–41nfl record
106 graded · 90% range 53–69%expected 67.8 wins
College football free pickThe model's winner call for this game, as on its prediction page.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Navy Midshipmen · Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 96%win chance, built on the market's no-vig price
The full prediction: the read, the factors and the market →76%387–122college football record
509 graded · 90% range 73–79%expected 377.5 wins
A pick is a probability, not a promise: a 75% pick still loses about one time in four. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.