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Houston vs Colorado: model prediction (Pro)

Houston team pageColorado team page

10:15 PM ET

Houston and Colorado meet on Nov 13, 2026 at Folsom Field (college football week 11). The sportsbooks give Houston a 76% chance and Colorado a 24% chance, margin removed. The model's winner call for this game, locked before the start and graded in public, is part of Pro; the model's record is always free.

The market's win chance

The sportsbooks' no-vig chance for each side, from 5 books. This is the market's number, free on the data page; it is not the model's call.

Houston 76%Colorado 24%

The road team is on the left, the home team on the right.

The model against the market

The model rates every team from each game's result and margin, adjusted for the opponent and home field. Its winner call is anchored to the betting market's price when there is one, with the model's own rating mixed in, so the call and the market's favorite usually agree. Pro adds the model's own number, its predicted score and margin, the read behind them and where each sits against the market.

See the record, free →How the models work

The model's read on Houston Cougars at Colorado Buffaloes

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The model's winner call

Who it picks, and the probability behind it

Predicted score and margin

The model's score for both teams against the market

The read

The matchups behind the call, in plain English

What moved the call

Passing, rushing, quarterback and rest, side by side

Share card

A one-tap image of the pick for your group chat

Included with Pro: the model's winner call · predicted score and margin · the read · what moved the call · share card. The record and the graded results are always free.
Start 7-day free trial7-day free trial for new subscribers · cancel anytimeSee a real Pro page: College football: Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks, a finished game →

The market's numbers on this game

Fri, Nov 13, 10:15 PM ET· Folsom Field
TeamSpreadTotalMoneyline
48° · 5 booksMatchup

These are the sportsbooks' lines, free. Pro adds the model's call beside them. Its track record is always free: see the record.

Where the lines sitWhere the market's number and the model's sit among every final margin and total in the league's history; the highlighted bars are the games that landed between the two.

3,452 FBS games since 2023
Marginmarket HOU by 9.5
Mkt HOU 9.5
← HOU by 28tieCOLO by 28 →

Most common margins: 3 (9.7%), 7 (7.6%), 10 (4.2%), 14 (4.1%).

Totalmarket 51.5
Mkt 51.5
24 pts6096 pts

The league’s median total since 2023 is 52.

Where the sportsbooks' numbers sit against how games have finished. Pro adds the model's number on these same charts.

How the line moved

Where the market maker moved the line since open, and whether other books followed. A record of prices, not a pick.

Spread
Moved toward COLO
Opened
HOU -10.75
Market maker now
HOU -9
▲ 1.8 since open
Retail now
HOU -9.5
0.5 behind
20 moves8 books3 ledFast move Mon, Nov 9, 4:49 AM
  1. Mon, Nov 9, 4:49 AM first big move: HOU -10.5 → HOU -9.5
  2. 3 books followed within six hours
  3. Retail was still HOU -10.5 at that point
Total
Moved toward the over
Opened
49
Market maker now
51.3
▲ 1 since open
Retail now
51.5
in line
8 moves8 books0 led
  1. Mon, Nov 9, 10:10 AM first big move: 49.5 → 51
  2. No books followed within six hours
  3. Retail was still 50.8 at that point

Model reads, not personalized advice. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.