The Rays (98-64) host the Guardians (85-77) at Tropicana Field on Oct 12, 2026, 8:00 PM ET; probable starters Foster Griffin and Drew Rasmussen.
Market· 3 books· best CLE +144 FanDuel (opens FanDuel in a new tab) · TB -170 BetMGM (opens BetMGM in a new tab)·
First seen TB -1.5 · now TB -1.5
The line is the number most books post, a step at each hour a book changed one, since we first priced the game; the shaded band is the lowest and highest number any book had up at that time (the right edge is the latest pull). Higher on the chart = the home side laying more.
Against this opponent since last season: 4 starts, 23.0 IP, 1.57 ERA, 22 K.
Season numbers to date; a starter with few innings has a noisy line.
CLEConfirmed lineupfirst seen 4:01 PM ETCLE bats 5 left · 1 right · 3 switch. Against Drew Rasmussen (RHP): 8 from the opposite side, 1 from his own side.
| Batting order# | Hitter | Pos · bats | AVG | OPS | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Kwan | LF · L | .282 | .721 | 3 |
| 2 | José Ramírez | 3B · S | .235 | .682 | 12 |
| 3 | Chase DeLauter | RF · L | .287 | .818 | 16 |
| 4 | Jo Adell | DH · R | .240 | .673 | 23 |
| 5 | Nathaniel Lowe | 1B · L | .252 | .756 | 17 |
| 6 | Travis Bazzana | 2B · L | .245 | .729 | 15 |
| 7 | Patrick Bailey | C · S | .206 | .602 | 10 |
| 8 | Petey Halpin | CF · L | .225 | .577 | 4 |
| 9 | Brayan Rocchio | SS · S | .253 | .684 | 15 |
Posted by the club; it can still change before first pitch.
TBConfirmed lineupfirst seen 4:01 PM ETTB bats 2 left · 6 right · 1 switch. Against Foster Griffin (LHP): 7 from the opposite side, 2 from his own side.
| Batting order# | Hitter | Pos · bats | AVG | OPS | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yandy Díaz | DH · R | .293 | .790 | 22 |
| 2 | Jonathan Aranda | 1B · L | .274 | .776 | 22 |
| 3 | Junior Caminero | 3B · R | .276 | .879 | 42 |
| 4 | Ryan Vilade | LF · R | .245 | .738 | 11 |
| 5 | Victor Mesa Jr. | RF · L | .260 | .818 | 14 |
| 6 | Jonny DeLuca | CF · R | .266 | .726 | 11 |
| 7 | Ben Williamson | 2B · R | .238 | .612 | 3 |
| 8 | Taylor Walls | SS · S | .222 | .591 | 2 |
| 9 | Nick Fortes | C · R | .258 | .651 | 6 |
Posted by the club; it can still change before first pitch.
CLE0 on the injured listNo one on it had a regular role this season.
TB5 on the injured listNo one on it had a regular role this season.
Indoors: wind and weather are out of play.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 2,928 league games, 39 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
453 relief innings among these arms. Fresh = did not pitch today or yesterday and threw under 40 pitches over the last three days. Counts finished games through today, including earlier games the same day, updated as games end.
468 relief innings among these arms. Fresh = did not pitch today or yesterday and threw under 40 pitches over the last three days. Counts finished games through today, including earlier games the same day, updated as games end.
| Row | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLEscored | .65 | .45 | .70 | .50 | .55 | .90 | .15 | .15 | 1.47 |
| CLEallowed | .55 | .20 | .40 | .40 | .45 | .75 | .15 | .30 | .24 |
| TBscored | .75 | .20 | .45 | .60 | .80 | .40 | .45 | .10 | .77 |
| TBallowed | .20 | .30 | .50 | .30 | .15 | .40 | .25 | .45 | .07 |
| League | .53 | .46 | .50 | .49 | .53 | .51 | .48 | .52 | .45 |
Runs a game in each inning over each club's last 20 games (CLE 20 on file, TB 20). Volt is better than the league's rate for that inning by 10% or more, orange worse; the league line is the regular-season average per club.
Pro: Hit rates and the gap vs price are part of ProStart 7-day free trialorcreate a free account
Chase DeLauter · Over 0.5SoftestB+
Ben Williamson · Over 0.5Bars: recent games vs the line (up = over, down = under)
Hit rates, streaks and head-to-head are the player's own history against each line, descriptive only, never our own over/under record.
Season totals, not a projection for this game.
Team pitching, starters and bullpen together.
| Hitter | AVG | OPS | Last 14 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jo AdellDH | .241 | .678 | 23 | 100 | .263 |
 Steven KwanLF | .280 | .715 | 3 | 33 | .211 |
 Brayan RocchioSS | .250 | .677 | 15 | 74 | ▼ .143 |
| Chase DeLauterRF | .285 | .808 | 16 | 69 | .250 |
 José Ramírez3B | .236 | .701 | 14 | 60 | .2782HR |
 Travis Bazzana2B | .241 | .721 | 15 | 58 | ▼ .125 |
 Nathaniel Lowe1B | .250 | .753 | 17 | 65 | .200 |
 Angel MartínezDH | .245 | .707 | 18 | 62 | ▼ .000 |
 Patrick BaileyC | .212 | .616 | 11 | 39 | ▲ .3331HR |
| Hitter | AVG | OPS | Last 14 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Junior Caminero3B | .276 | .878 | 42 | 101 | ▲ .300 |
 Yandy Díaz1B | .292 | .786 | 22 | 85 | .250 |
 Jonathan Aranda3B | .275 | .778 | 23 | 94 | ▲ .3331HR |
 Chandler SimpsonCF | .304 | .678 | 0 | 39 | ▼ .125 |
 Liam HicksC | .282 | .776 | 18 | 83 | ▼ .100 |
 Cedric MullinsCF | .204 | .606 | 15 | 48 | ▼ .000 |
 Taylor WallsSS | .219 | .582 | 2 | 36 | ▼ .100 |
 Richie PalaciosRF | .234 | .687 | 10 | 59 | .200 |
 Jonny DeLucaCF | .264 | .720 | 11 | 50 | .200 |
 Ryan ViladeRF | .247 | .752 | 12 | 44 | ▲ .5001HR |
Griffin pitching (2026) on the left, Caminero batting (2026) on the right — each bar is that player's own percentile among that season's qualified group, colored for whether it's good news for him, not just how big the number is.
Rasmussen pitching (2026) on the left, DeLauter batting (2026) on the right — each bar is that player's own percentile among that season's qualified group, colored for whether it's good news for him, not just how big the number is.
Descriptive history for both players, not a forecast of this at-bat.
Starters' numbers are their season going into the game; weather is the first-pitch forecast; lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. Descriptive data only, there is no MLB model. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CLE85-77 · last 162 games | TB98-64 · last 162 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games decided by one run | 30.2%#4 of 30 | 24.1%#29 of 30 | 27.5% |
| Hits per game | 7.97#24 of 30 | 8.67#2 of 30 | 8.20 |
| Walks per game | 3.54#8 of 30 | 3.17#22 of 30 | 3.36 |
| Games scoring no runs | 9.9%#2 of 30 | 5.6%#15 of 30 | 6.2% |
| Runs scored | 4.19#24 of 30 | 4.54#12 of 30 | 4.48 |
| Run margin | +0.1#13 of 30 | +0.5#6 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 6 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 162 regular-season games (Mar 2026 – Sep 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.
Where a player's own games in the situations this game has and the books' no-vig chance disagree by more than luck usually explains. Some still are luck. History, not a pick.
It is the postseason. These splits compare a player's regular-season games with playoff prices, and roles, lineups and usage change in October. Far more splits clear the bar than luck alone explains, so read each one as a place to look, not as a finding.
Junior Caminero has stayed under 0.5 walks in 13 of 13 games against CLE.
Also cleared the bar (overall): 218 of 314 on the under side.
Lines from regulated US sportsbooks; they can lag what a book shows right now. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.