RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Last 30 games since Dec 20, 2020
Scott Novak
Accepted penalties
per game, both teams
13.1
≈ in line with the league average (11.5)
Penalty yards
per game, both teams
104.6
≈ in line with the league average (97.6)
Accepted penalties per 100 plays
both teams
10.2
≈ in line with the league average (9.1)
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 507 league games, 30 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Roof closed · wind, cold and rain are out of playAT&T Stadium · TurfStadium scoring factor 116 (2nd of 32, 100 = league average) · 52.7 points a game in 87 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Matchup statsHow the two teams play: each offense against the defense it faces, the three widest gaps marked, every measure ranked (1 = best).
play-by-play and charting · 2022 season only
Offense vs defenseEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces; longer bar = better rank, filled = the side ranking better. The three widest gaps are marked.
2022 season · ranks of 32
ranks betterranks worseStronger6+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 32 (#1 = best)
NYG offensevsDAL defense
NYG offense ranks better in 1 of 6 matchups · DAL defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Passing · EPA per dropbackExpected points added per dropback; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.05
#11
−0.07
Stronger#5
Rushing · EPA per rushExpected points added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.01
#5
−0.12
slight#4
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
39%
#20
40%
slight#15
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown; the defense's is what it allows.
65%
#5slight
50%
#6
Sacks · protection vs pass rushSacks per dropback: allowed by the offense (fewer is better), created by the defense.Widest gap · 24 places
8.1%
#27
8.0%
Stronger#3
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.· even
0.74
#1
1.74
#1
DAL offensevsNYG defense
DAL offense ranks better in 6 of 6 matchups (5 by a clear margin) · NYG defense in 0
Passing · EPA per dropbackExpected points added per dropback; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.06
#9Stronger
+0.05
#20
Rushing · EPA per rushExpected points added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 22 places
−0.01
#10Stronger
+0.10
#32
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
45%
#5slight
38%
#7
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown; the defense's is what it allows.
71%
#1Stronger
53%
#10
Sacks · protection vs pass rushSacks per dropback: allowed by the offense (fewer is better), created by the defense.Widest gap · 18 places
4.3%
#4Stronger
6.0%
#22
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
1.21
#15Stronger
0.84
#30
Every measure, ranked
35 measures per pairing+
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 32 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
NYG offenseDAL defense
EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: the best single passing-efficiency number. Defense column: what it allows.favors DAL
+0.05#11▼
−0.07#5▲
Pass success rate
47%#10
44%#12
Explosive pass rateDropbacks gaining 20+ yards.favors DAL
5.1%#32
6.6%#5
Yards / dropbackfavors DAL
5.8#22
5.7#8
Depth of target (aDOT)Average air yards per attempt — how far downfield they throw, or get thrown at.
6.5
7.6
Deep-ball rate (20+ air)
6%
11%
Short throws (≤5 air)
56%
52%
Completion % over expectedCompletions above what the throws' difficulty predicts, per attempt. Defense column: what it allows.
+1.0#8▼
−1.6#10▼
YAC / completionfavors NYG
5.0#17
5.2#24
Sack rate / Sack rate generatedSacks per dropback. Lower is better for an offense; the defense column shows sacks they create.favors DAL
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:NYG scores 54% · allows 54%DAL scores 53% · allows 53%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
NYGDALsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
NYG5 games
Scored14.2
Allowed13.4
Pass share39%
37–42% · 147 plays
DAL6 games
Scored12.7
Allowed12.2
Pass share47%
40–53% · 172 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
NYG7 games
Scored8.3
Allowed9.7
Pass share46%
40–51% · 246 plays
DAL2 games · small sample
Scored11.5
Allowed15.5
Pass share58%
64 plays · too few games for a range
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
NYG5 games
Scored10.4
Allowed11.6
Pass share60%
53–66% · 137 plays
DAL9 games
Scored14.2
Allowed14.1
Pass share62%
57–67% · 288 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
NYGat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 5 (of 17)
5.1
5.2Q1
7.2
8.0Q2
12.3scored13.2allowedleague 11.4
1st half
4.6
3.4Q3
6.1
7.5Q4
DALat the half: led 6 · within 3 in 2 · trailed 9 (of 17)
5.8
7.2Q1
9.0
8.1Q2
14.8scored15.3allowedleague 11.4
1st half
7.0
5.2Q3
6.4
8.4Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
NYGDAL
10-8-1
Record
13-6
21.2
Points for / game
26.8
22.8
Points against / game
19.7
5-3 / 5-5
Home / road
8-1 / 5-5
L W L W L
Last 5
L W L W W
2022 season only (not a rolling window) · 19 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
NYGDAL
0.044
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.032
0.069
EPA / play allowed
-0.084
204
Pass yards / game
233
146
Rush yards / game
132
228
Pass yards allowed
228
146
Rush yards allowed
124
0.6 / 1.5
Turnovers / takeaways
1.2 / 2.2
3.0 / 2.2
Sacks allowed / made
1.5 / 3.1
18.9
First downs / game
19.0
46
Penalty yards / game
48
+3.8 · #12 of 52
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+5.2 · #8 of 52
2022 season to date · 19 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
NYGDAL
11-18-1 · 38%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
5-5 · 50%
Last two seasons (2021–2022), NYG 36 games, DAL 37. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
7NYGseriesDAL22
Avg total points
48.3
Meetings
29
Division rivals — they meet twice every season. NYG have won the last 2.
2026DAL 20 at NYG 28NYG
2025DAL 17 at NYG 34NYG
2025NYG 37 at DAL 40DAL
2024NYG 20 at DAL 27DAL
2024DAL 20 at NYG 15DAL
2023NYG 17 at DAL 49DAL
2023DAL 40 at NYG 0DAL
2022NYG 20 at DAL 28DAL
All 29 meetings
2022DAL 23 at NYG 16DAL
2021DAL 21 at NYG 6DAL
2021NYG 20 at DAL 44DAL
2020DAL 19 at NYG 23NYG
2020NYG 34 at DAL 37DAL
2019DAL 37 at NYG 18DAL
2019NYG 17 at DAL 35DAL
2018DAL 36 at NYG 35DAL
2018NYG 13 at DAL 20DAL
2017DAL 30 at NYG 10DAL
2017NYG 3 at DAL 19DAL
2016DAL 7 at NYG 10NYG
2016NYG 20 at DAL 19NYG
2015DAL 20 at NYG 27NYG
2015NYG 26 at DAL 27DAL
2014DAL 31 at NYG 28DAL
2014NYG 21 at DAL 31DAL
2013DAL 24 at NYG 21DAL
2013NYG 31 at DAL 36DAL
2012NYG 29 at DAL 24NYG
2012DAL 24 at NYG 17DAL
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Richie JamesWR8615.7%
Saquon BarkleyRB8515.5%
Darius SlaytonWR8415.3%
Isaiah HodginsWR539.7%
Daniel BellingerTE407.3%
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR315.7%
Matt BreidaRB264.7%
Sterling ShepardWR244.4%
Marcus JohnsonWR234.2%
Lawrence CagerTE213.8%
David SillsWR173.1%
Kenny GolladayWR173.1%
Tanner HudsonTE152.7%
Gary BrightwellRB81.5%
Chris MyarickTE81.5%
Nick VannettTE71.3%
Kadarius ToneyWR30.5%
CeeDee LambWR17528.5%
Dalton SchultzTE10717.4%
Michael GallupWR8313.5%
Noah BrownWR7812.7%
Tony PollardRB619.9%
Ezekiel ElliottRB294.7%
Jake FergusonTE233.7%
Peyton HendershotTE162.6%
T.Y. HiltonWR152.4%
Malik DavisRB71.1%
Dennis HoustonWR61.0%
Simi FehokoWR40.7%
KaVontae TurpinWR30.5%
Jalen TolbertWR30.5%
Sean McKeonTE30.5%
James WashingtonWR10.2%
New York Giants2024–25 seasons
Dallas Cowboys2024–25 seasons
