RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Clete Blakeman
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Roof closed · wind, cold and rain are out of playUniversity of Phoenix Stadium · grassStadium scoring factor 104 (8th of 32, 100 = league average) · 47.3 points a game in 82 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Jacksonville Jaguars · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:JAX scores 53% · allows 44%ARI scores 51% · allows 50%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
JAXARIsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
JAX11 games
Scored12.0
Allowed9.0
Pass share39%
35–44% · 307 plays
ARI5 games
Scored8.6
Allowed14.2
Pass share54%
43–65% · 152 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
JAX3 games
Scored20.0
Allowed15.7
Pass share45%
34–57% · 110 plays
ARI3 games
Scored3.3
Allowed17.0
Pass share67%
64–69% · 66 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
JAX3 games
Scored10.0
Allowed10.3
Pass share69%
56–81% · 105 plays
ARI9 games
Scored13.7
Allowed15.7
Pass share73%
67–78% · 308 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
JAXat the half: led 11 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 3 (of 17)
6.0
3.2Q1
8.9
5.0Q2
14.9scored8.2allowedleague 11.4
1st half
6.1
2.7Q3
6.4
7.4Q4
ARIat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 9 (of 17)
5.2
7.6Q1
5.6
8.1Q2
10.8scored15.8allowedleague 11.4
1st half
4.9
7.0Q3
5.4
8.3Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
JAXARI
12-7
Record
8-8
25.9
Points for / game
18.4
17.7
Points against / game
22.6
7-2 / 5-5
Home / road
5-3 / 3-5
L W W L L
Last 5
W W L W L
2017 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–19 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
JAXARI
0.020
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
-0.152
-0.155
EPA / play allowed
-0.091
227
Pass yards / game
249
141
Rush yards / game
87
211
Pass yards allowed
237
112
Rush yards allowed
90
0.9 / 2.3
Turnovers / takeaways
1.4 / 2.0
1.5 / 3.3
Sacks allowed / made
3.3 / 2.3
18.5
First downs / game
16.6
58
Penalty yards / game
55
+3.4 · #15 of 47
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
−11.3 · #47 of 47
2017 season to date · 16–19 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
JAXARI
6-14 · 30%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
5-10 · 33%
Last two seasons (2016–2017), JAX 35 games, ARI 32. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
1JAXseriesARI3
Avg total points
48.3
Meetings
4
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (4 of the 15 seasons in our history).
2025JAX 27 at ARI 24JAX
2021ARI 31 at JAX 19ARI
2017JAX 24 at ARI 27ARI
2013ARI 27 at JAX 14ARI
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Marqise LeeWR11118.5%
Keelan ColeWR8914.8%
Allen HurnsWR6611.0%
Dede WestbrookWR6510.8%
Leonard FournetteRB6010.0%
Marcedes LewisTE559.2%
T.J. YeldonRB477.8%
Chris IvoryRB294.8%
James O'ShaughnessyTE274.5%
Tommy BohanonFB142.3%
Jaydon MickensWR111.8%
Ben KoyackTE101.7%
Corey GrantRB71.2%
Jaelen StrongWR40.7%
Arrelious BennWR20.3%
Larry PinkardWR10.2%
Allen RobinsonWR10.2%
Max McCaffreyWR10.2%
Larry FitzgeraldWR16127.2%
Jaron BrownWR6911.7%
J.J. NelsonWR6110.3%
John BrownWR559.3%
Andre EllingtonRB508.4%
Jermaine GreshamTE467.8%
Ricky Seals-JonesTE284.7%
D.J. FosterRB284.7%
Troy NiklasTE233.9%
Adrian PetersonRB162.7%
Kerwynn WilliamsRB152.5%
David JohnsonRB91.5%
Brittan GoldenWR91.5%
Chad WilliamsWR71.2%
Elijhaa PennyFB61.0%
Chris JohnsonRB61.0%
Ifeanyi MomahTE20.3%
Gabe HolmesTE10.2%
Jacksonville Jaguars2024–25 seasons
Arizona Cardinals2024–25 seasons
