RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Ed Hochuli
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Roof closed · wind, cold and rain are out of playNRG Stadium · TurfStadium scoring factor 100 (15th of 32, 100 = league average) · 45.7 points a game in 91 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Arizona Cardinals · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
2017 season
Larry Fitzgerald · 161 (27.2%)Jaron Brown · 69 (11.7%)J.J. Nelson · 61 (10.3%)John Brown · 55 (9.3%)Andre Ellington · 50 (8.4%)Jermaine Gresham · 46 (7.8%)Ricky Seals-Jones · 28 (4.7%)D.J. Foster · 28 (4.7%)Troy Niklas · 23 (3.9%)Adrian Peterson · 16 (2.7%)Kerwynn Williams · 15 (2.5%)David Johnson · 9 (1.5%)Brittan Golden · 9 (1.5%)Chad Williams · 7 (1.2%)Elijhaa Penny · 6 (1.0%)Chris Johnson · 6 (1.0%)Ifeanyi Momah · 2 (0.3%)Gabe Holmes · 1 (0.2%)
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:ARI scores 51% · allows 50%HOU scores 53% · allows 49%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
ARIHOUsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
ARI5 games
Scored8.6
Allowed14.2
Pass share54%
43–65% · 152 plays
HOU10 games
Scored9.8
Allowed12.3
Pass share45%
39–51% · 278 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
ARI3 games
Scored3.3
Allowed17.0
Pass share67%
64–69% · 66 plays
HOU3 games
Scored16.3
Allowed7.3
Pass share56%
48–65% · 94 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
ARI9 games
Scored13.7
Allowed15.7
Pass share73%
67–78% · 308 plays
HOU4 games
Scored11.3
Allowed8.8
Pass share72%
65–78% · 134 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
ARIat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 9 (of 17)
5.2
7.6Q1
5.6
8.1Q2
10.8scored15.8allowedleague 11.4
1st half
4.9
7.0Q3
5.4
8.3Q4
HOUat the half: led 10 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 4 (of 17)
4.8
2.8Q1
7.8
7.2Q2
12.6scored10.0allowedleague 11.4
1st half
3.4
5.6Q3
7.9
5.0Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
ARIHOU
8-8
Record
4-12
18.4
Points for / game
21.1
22.6
Points against / game
27.3
5-3 / 3-5
Home / road
3-5 / 1-7
W W L W L
Last 5
L L L L L
2017 season only (not a rolling window) · 16 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
ARIHOU
-0.152
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
-0.081
-0.091
EPA / play allowed
-0.001
249
Pass yards / game
228
87
Rush yards / game
115
237
Pass yards allowed
250
90
Rush yards allowed
109
1.4 / 2.0
Turnovers / takeaways
1.2 / 1.5
3.3 / 2.3
Sacks allowed / made
3.4 / 2.0
16.6
First downs / game
16.6
55
Penalty yards / game
66
−11.3 · #47 of 47
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
−6.8 · #43 of 47
2017 season to date · 16 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
ARIHOU
5-10 · 33%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
5-17 · 23%
Last two seasons (2016–2017), ARI 32 games, HOU 34. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
2ARIseriesHOU3
Avg total points
47.2
Meetings
5
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (5 of the 15 seasons in our history). HOU have won the last 2.
2025ARI 20 at HOU 40HOU
2023ARI 16 at HOU 21HOU
2021HOU 5 at ARI 31ARI
2017ARI 21 at HOU 31HOU
2013HOU 24 at ARI 27ARI
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Larry FitzgeraldWR16127.2%
Jaron BrownWR6911.7%
J.J. NelsonWR6110.3%
John BrownWR559.3%
Andre EllingtonRB508.4%
Jermaine GreshamTE467.8%
Ricky Seals-JonesTE284.7%
D.J. FosterRB284.7%
Troy NiklasTE233.9%
Adrian PetersonRB162.7%
Kerwynn WilliamsRB152.5%
David JohnsonRB91.5%
Brittan GoldenWR91.5%
Chad WilliamsWR71.2%
Elijhaa PennyFB61.0%
Chris JohnsonRB61.0%
Ifeanyi MomahTE20.3%
Gabe HolmesTE10.2%
DeAndre HopkinsWR17433.7%
Bruce EllingtonWR5711.0%
Stephen AndersonTE5210.1%
Will FullerWR509.7%
Lamar MillerRB458.7%
Braxton MillerWR295.6%
Ryan GriffinTE265.0%
C.J. FiedorowiczTE224.3%
Tyler ErvinRB112.1%
Alfred BlueRB91.7%
D'Onta ForemanRB81.6%
DeAndrew WhiteWR71.4%
Cobi HamiltonWR61.2%
Chris ThompsonWR61.2%
Jay ProschFB40.8%
Ryan MalleckTE10.2%
Arizona Cardinals2024–25 seasons
Houston Texans2024–25 seasons
