RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Last 30 games since Sep 15, 2024
Carl Cheffers
Accepted penalties
per game, both teams
12.9
≈ in line with the league average (12.8)
Penalty yards
per game, both teams
99.7
≈ in line with the league average (103.4)
Accepted penalties per 100 plays
both teams
10.4
≈ in line with the league average (10.4)
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 526 league games, 30 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playSoFi Stadium · TurfStadium scoring factor 97 (25th of 32, 100 = league average) · 44.1 points a game in 53 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Matchup statsHow the two teams play: each offense against the defense it faces, the three widest gaps marked, every measure ranked (1 = best).
play-by-play and charting · 2025 season only
Offense vs defenseEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces; longer bar = better rank, filled = the side ranking better. The three widest gaps are marked.
2025 season · ranks of 32
ranks betterranks worseStronger6+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 32 (#1 = best)
ARI offensevsLAR defense
ARI offense ranks better in 1 of 6 matchups · LAR defense in 5 (5 by a clear margin)
Passing · EPA per dropbackExpected points added per dropback; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.02
#19
−0.02
Stronger#11
Rushing · EPA per rushExpected points added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 22 places
−0.11
#29
−0.09
Stronger#7
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
42%
#9slight
38%
#12
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown; the defense's is what it allows.
54%
#24
53%
Stronger#8
Sacks · protection vs pass rushSacks per dropback: allowed by the offense (fewer is better), created by the defense.
7.9%
#24
6.6%
Stronger#13
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
1.18
#17
1.50
Stronger#6
LAR offensevsARI defense
LAR offense ranks better in 6 of 6 matchups (6 by a clear margin) · ARI defense in 0
Passing · EPA per dropbackExpected points added per dropback; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 24 places
+0.22
#2Stronger
+0.17
#26
Rushing · EPA per rushExpected points added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.04
#4Stronger
−0.02
#25
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
38%
#23Stronger
45%
#29
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown; the defense's is what it allows.
64%
#7Stronger
64%
#27
Sacks · protection vs pass rushSacks per dropback: allowed by the offense (fewer is better), created by the defense.Widest gap · 25 places
3.9%
#3Stronger
4.8%
#28
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
0.80
#3Stronger
1.12
#18
Every measure, ranked
35 measures per pairing+
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 32 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
ARI offenseLAR defense
EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: the best single passing-efficiency number. Defense column: what it allows.favors LAR
+0.02#19▼
−0.02#11▲
Pass success rate
45%#19
45%#14
Explosive pass rateDropbacks gaining 20+ yards.favors LAR
6.8%#26▲
8.0%#16
Yards / dropbackfavors LAR
5.7#26
6.1#14
Depth of target (aDOT)Average air yards per attempt — how far downfield they throw, or get thrown at.
7.2
8.0
Deep-ball rate (20+ air)
10%
11%
Short throws (≤5 air)
58%
51%
Completion % over expectedCompletions above what the throws' difficulty predicts, per attempt. Defense column: what it allows.
+1.0#13▼
−0.9#10▼
YAC / completionfavors LAR
4.9#21
4.7#7
Sack rate / Sack rate generatedSacks per dropback. Lower is better for an offense; the defense column shows sacks they create.favors LAR
7.9%#24▲
6.6%#13▼
Scramble rate
5.1%
4.1%
Interception rate / Interceptions forced
1.7%#7
2.8%#9
Throws left / middle / rightShare of throws to the left, middle and right.
L 37 · M 21 · R 42
L 38 · M 25 · R 37
LAR offenseARI defense
EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: the best single passing-efficiency number. Defense column: what it allows.favors LAR
+0.22#2
+0.17#26▲
Pass success ratefavors LAR
51%#4
52%#31
Explosive pass rateDropbacks gaining 20+ yards.favors LAR
11.5%#1
8.7%#22
Yards / dropbackfavors LAR
7.3#2
6.6#24
Depth of target (aDOT)Average air yards per attempt — how far downfield they throw, or get thrown at.
9.7
7.8
Deep-ball rate (20+ air)
16%
10%
Short throws (≤5 air)
50%
52%
Completion % over expectedCompletions above what the throws' difficulty predicts, per attempt. Defense column: what it allows.
+0.7#15▼
+1.0#19
YAC / completionfavors ARI
4.9#23
5.0#16
Sack rate / Sack rate generatedSacks per dropback. Lower is better for an offense; the defense column shows sacks they create.favors LAR
3.9%#3
4.8%#28
Scramble rate
1.2%
3.9%
Interception rate / Interceptions forcedfavors LAR
1.3%#1
1.8%#22▼
Throws left / middle / rightShare of throws to the left, middle and right.
L 35 · M 22 · R 43
L 39 · M 20 · R 41
Arizona Cardinals · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:ARI scores 51% · allows 50%LAR scores 52% · allows 49%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
ARILARsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
ARI5 games
Scored8.6
Allowed14.2
Pass share54%
43–65% · 152 plays
LAR10 games
Scored14.2
Allowed12.8
Pass share50%
42–58% · 318 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
ARI3 games
Scored3.3
Allowed17.0
Pass share67%
64–69% · 66 plays
LAR3 games
Scored9.0
Allowed13.7
Pass share54%
42–67% · 111 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
ARI9 games
Scored13.7
Allowed15.7
Pass share73%
67–78% · 308 plays
LAR4 games
Scored19.0
Allowed7.5
Pass share64%
53–75% · 135 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
ARIat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 9 (of 17)
5.2
7.6Q1
5.6
8.1Q2
10.8scored15.8allowedleague 11.4
1st half
4.9
7.0Q3
5.4
8.3Q4
LARat the half: led 10 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 4 (of 17)
7.0
4.1Q1
8.5
7.2Q2
15.5scored11.3allowedleague 11.4
1st half
6.1
4.9Q3
7.8
6.3Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.4
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
ARILAR
3-14
Record
14-6
20.9
Points for / game
29.9
28.7
Points against / game
21.3
1-7 / 2-7
Home / road
7-1 / 7-5
L L L L L
Last 5
L W W W L
2025 season only (not a rolling window) · 17–20 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
ARILAR
-0.016
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.134
0.082
EPA / play allowed
-0.024
256
Pass yards / game
282
93
Rush yards / game
125
243
Pass yards allowed
243
127
Rush yards allowed
110
0.9 / 1.4
Turnovers / takeaways
0.7 / 1.6
3.5 / 1.8
Sacks allowed / made
1.4 / 2.6
18.1
First downs / game
21.3
50
Penalty yards / game
35
+0.2 · #29 of 52
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+7.1 · #3 of 52
2025 season to date · 17–20 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
ARILAR
6-18 · 25%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
5-9 · 36%
Last two seasons (2024–2025), ARI 34 games, LAR 39. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
8ARIseriesLAR21
Avg total points
42.4
Meetings
29
Division rivals — they meet twice every season. LAR have won the last 3.
2025ARI 20 at LAR 37LAR
2025LAR 45 at ARI 17LAR
2024ARI 9 at LAR 13LAR
2024LAR 10 at ARI 41ARI
2023LAR 37 at ARI 14LAR
2023ARI 9 at LAR 26LAR
2022ARI 27 at LAR 17ARI
2022LAR 20 at ARI 12LAR
All 29 meetings
2021ARI 11 at LAR 34PlayoffsLAR
2021LAR 30 at ARI 23LAR
2021ARI 37 at LAR 20ARI
2020ARI 7 at LAR 18LAR
2020LAR 38 at ARI 28LAR
2019ARI 24 at LAR 31LAR
2019LAR 34 at ARI 7LAR
2018LAR 31 at ARI 9LAR
2018ARI 0 at LAR 34LAR
2017LAR 32 at ARI 16LAR
2017ARI 0 vs LAR 33LAR
2016ARI 44 at LAR 6ARI
2016LAR 17 at ARI 13LAR
2015ARI 27 at LAR 3ARI
2015LAR 24 at ARI 22LAR
2014ARI 12 at LAR 6ARI
2014LAR 14 at ARI 31ARI
2013LAR 10 at ARI 30ARI
2013ARI 24 at LAR 27LAR
2012LAR 31 at ARI 17LAR
2012ARI 3 at LAR 17LAR
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Trey McBrideTE16927.4%
Michael WilsonWR12620.4%
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR7311.8%
Michael CarterRB457.3%
Elijah HigginsTE376.0%
Greg DortchWR335.3%
Bam KnightRB315.0%
Emari DemercadoRB203.2%
Zay JonesWR182.9%
Trey BensonRB162.6%
Xavier WeaverWR132.1%
James ConnerRB91.5%
Jalen BrooksWR61.0%
Tip ReimanTE50.8%
Josiah DeguaraTE50.8%
Andre BaccelliaWR40.6%
Corey KinerRB30.5%
Pharaoh BrownTE20.3%
Trent SherfieldWR10.2%
Steven SimsWR10.2%
Puka NacuaWR20829.8%
Davante AdamsWR13919.9%
Colby ParkinsonTE7010.0%
Kyren WilliamsRB598.5%
Tyler HigbeeTE426.0%
Davis AllenTE334.7%
Terrance FergusonTE314.4%
Konata MumpfieldWR294.2%
Jordan WhittingtonWR273.9%
Xavier SmithWR243.4%
Blake CorumRB192.7%
Tutu AtwellWR152.2%
Ronnie RiversRB10.1%
Arizona Cardinals2024–25 seasons
Los Angeles Rams2024–25 seasons
