RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Last 30 games since Dec 18, 2022
Land Clark
Accepted penalties
per game, both teams
11.7
≈ in line with the league average (11.6)
Penalty yards
per game, both teams
95.9
≈ in line with the league average (94.0)
Accepted penalties per 100 plays
both teams
9.5
≈ in line with the league average (9.2)
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 524 league games, 30 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playSoFi Stadium · TurfStadium scoring factor 97 (25th of 32, 100 = league average) · 44.1 points a game in 53 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Matchup statsHow the two teams play: each offense against the defense it faces, the three widest gaps marked, every measure ranked (1 = best).
play-by-play and charting · 2024 season only
Offense vs defenseEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces; longer bar = better rank, filled = the side ranking better. The three widest gaps are marked.
2024 season · ranks of 32
ranks betterranks worseStronger6+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 32 (#1 = best)
PHI offensevsLAR defense
PHI offense ranks better in 4 of 6 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · LAR defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Passing · EPA per dropbackExpected points added per dropback; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.18
#6Stronger
+0.05
#14
Rushing · EPA per rushExpected points added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 19 places
+0.06
#4Stronger
−0.02
#23
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
41%
#10Stronger
40%
#18
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown; the defense's is what it allows.
58%
#11
48%
Stronger#4
Sacks · protection vs pass rushSacks per dropback: allowed by the offense (fewer is better), created by the defense.Widest gap · 27 places
8.9%
#31
7.8%
Stronger#4
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
0.62
#2Stronger
1.11
#14
LAR offensevsPHI defense
LAR offense ranks better in 0 of 6 matchups · PHI defense in 6 (4 by a clear margin)
Passing · EPA per dropbackExpected points added per dropback; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.07
#13
−0.07
Stronger#2
Rushing · EPA per rushExpected points added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.
−0.07
#19
−0.17
Stronger#1
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.Widest gap · 19 places
37%
#24
37%
Stronger#5
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown; the defense's is what it allows.
52%
#25
49%
Stronger#6
Sacks · protection vs pass rushSacks per dropback: allowed by the offense (fewer is better), created by the defense.
5.7%
#11
7.1%
slight#10
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
0.84
#6
1.71
slight#2
Every measure, ranked
35 measures per pairing+
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 32 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
PHI offenseLAR defense
EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: the best single passing-efficiency number. Defense column: what it allows.favors PHI
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:PHI scores 59% · allows 42%LAR scores 52% · allows 49%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
PHILARsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
PHI9 games
Scored7.6
Allowed10.6
Pass share44%
34–54% · 236 plays
LAR10 games
Scored14.2
Allowed12.8
Pass share50%
42–58% · 318 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
PHI6 games
Scored8.0
Allowed12.2
Pass share56%
46–66% · 171 plays
LAR3 games
Scored9.0
Allowed13.7
Pass share54%
42–67% · 111 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
PHI2 games · small sample
Scored12.5
Allowed13.0
Pass share71%
63 plays · too few games for a range
LAR4 games
Scored19.0
Allowed7.5
Pass share64%
53–75% · 135 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
PHIat the half: led 9 · within 3 in 6 · trailed 2 (of 17)
4.4
3.9Q1
7.8
4.2Q2
12.2scored8.1allowedleague 11.4
1st half
3.9
3.1Q3
4.4
8.1Q4
LARat the half: led 10 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 4 (of 17)
7.0
4.1Q1
8.5
7.2Q2
15.5scored11.3allowedleague 11.4
1st half
6.1
4.9Q3
7.8
6.3Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.4
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
PHILAR
18-3
Record
11-8
29.0
Points for / game
21.9
18.1
Points against / game
22.3
12-1 / 6-2
Home / road
6-4 / 5-4
W W W W W
Last 5
L W L W W
2024 season only (not a rolling window) · 19–21 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
PHILAR
0.104
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
-0.001
-0.085
EPA / play allowed
0.015
202
Pass yards / game
244
184
Rush yards / game
103
207
Pass yards allowed
235
102
Rush yards allowed
137
0.5 / 2.3
Turnovers / takeaways
0.7 / 1.4
2.8 / 2.7
Sacks allowed / made
2.0 / 2.8
19.2
First downs / game
18.1
46
Penalty yards / game
49
+6.4 · #9 of 49
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+1.9 · #18 of 49
2024 season to date · 19–21 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
PHILAR
5-2 · 71%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
7-13 · 35%
Last two seasons (2023–2024), PHI 39 games, LAR 37. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
7PHIseriesLAR2
Avg total points
55.1
Meetings
9
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (8 of the 15 seasons in our history).
2026LAR 24 at PHI 20LAR
2025LAR 26 at PHI 33PHI
2024LAR 22 at PHI 28PlayoffsPHI
2024PHI 37 at LAR 20PHI
2023PHI 23 at LAR 14PHI
2020LAR 37 at PHI 19LAR
2018PHI 30 at LAR 23PHI
2017PHI 43 at LAR 35PHI
All 9 meetings
2014LAR 28 at PHI 34PHI
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
A.J. BrownWR12023.9%
DeVonta SmithWR10621.1%
Dallas GoedertTE7214.3%
Saquon BarkleyRB5811.5%
Jahan DotsonWR387.6%
Grant CalcaterraTE316.2%
Kenny GainwellRB255.0%
Johnny WilsonWR163.2%
Ainias SmithWR91.8%
Parris CampbellWR81.6%
Britain CoveyWR81.6%
Will ShipleyRB40.8%
Jack StollTE30.6%
John RossWR20.4%
E.J. JenkinsTE20.4%
Ben VanSumerenRB10.2%
Puka NacuaWR12921.1%
Cooper KuppWR10817.7%
Demarcus RobinsonWR7311.9%
Tutu AtwellWR6310.3%
Colby ParkinsonTE538.7%
Kyren WilliamsRB457.4%
Tyler JohnsonWR416.7%
Jordan WhittingtonWR294.7%
Tyler HigbeeTE274.4%
Davis AllenTE152.5%
Hunter LongTE111.8%
Blake CorumRB81.3%
Ronnie RiversRB61.0%
Xavier SmithWR20.3%
Cody SchraderRB10.2%
Philadelphia Eagles2024–25 seasons
Los Angeles Rams2024–25 seasons
