Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Oklahoma Sooners

2026: 1-0 · Elo 1772 · #16 of 240 · 51.0 for, 0.0 against · ATS 1-0

Next: at MICH · Sep 12

Rating trajectory The model's Elo after each week, this season in blue and last season in grey. 1500 is league average; every 22 (NFL) or 18 (college) points is about one point of spread.

17721500 = average

Model on this team

No locked picks graded yet this season.

SP+ (2026)
+18.8
SP+ (2025)
+18.3
Talent composite
851
Returning production
63%

How they play

Pass rate
53%
Standard-down share
67%
Plays / game
63
Possession / game
29:44

Offense · best and worst (of 135)

Interception rate
#54 · 2.1%
Points / scoring opportunity
#61 · 3.77
Turnovers / game
#64 · 1.23
Pass success rate
#70 · 41%
Rushing PPA / play
#123 · +0.00
Yards / rush
#120 · 3.6
Stuff rate
#117 · 22%
Rush success rate
#113 · 38%

Defense · best and worst (of 135)

Rush success rate
#2 · 30%
Line yards / rush
#2 · 2.03
Stuff rate forced
#2 · 29%
Yards / rush
#2 · 2.4
Rush explosiveness
#120 · 1.08
Takeaways / game
#98 · 1.00
Interceptions forced
#50 · 2.7%
Pass explosiveness
#47 · 1.50
2026 schedule
DateOpponentResultLineModelATSCLV
Sep 4W1vsUTEP MinersW 51–0-40.5OU 97%
Sep 12W2at#16 Michigan Wolverines-4.5OU 54%
Sep 19W3vsNew Mexico Lobos
Sep 26W4at#3 Georgia Bulldogs+10
Oct 10W6vs#5 Texas Longhorns+6
Oct 17W7vsKentucky Wildcats
Oct 24W8atMississippi State Bulldogs
Oct 31W9vsSouth Carolina Gamecocks
Nov 7W10atFlorida Gators
Nov 14W11vs#9 Ole Miss Rebels-4
Nov 21W12vs#8 Texas A&M Aggies-2.5
Nov 28W13at#25 Missouri Tigers

Line is this team's spread. Model, ATS and CLV are shown only for picks locked before kickoff; 1 played.