Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playAT&T StadiumStadium scoring factor 120 (6th of 134, 100 = league average) · 64.2 points a game in 23 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 60.2 points vs 53.7 in mild outdoor games
Matchup statsHow the two teams play: each offense against the defense it faces, the three widest gaps marked, every measure ranked (1 = best).
advanced stats (garbage time excluded) and play-by-play · 2025 season only
Offense vs defenseEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces; longer bar = better rank, filled = the side ranking better. The three widest gaps are marked.
2025 season · ranks of 135
ranks betterranks worseStronger27+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 135 (#1 = best)
BYU offensevsTTU defense
BYU offense ranks better in 0 of 6 matchups · TTU defense in 6 (5 by a clear margin)
Passing · points added per playPoints added per pass play; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 62 places
+0.19
#63
−0.20
Stronger#1
Rushing · points added per playPoints added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.17
#25
−0.32
slight#1
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
41%
#49
30%
Stronger#7
Finishing drives · points per opportunityPoints per drive reaching the opponent's 40; the defense's is what it allows.
4.03
#39
2.41
Stronger#2
Havoc · faced vs createdTackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups per play: faced by the offense, created by the defense.
13.6%
#43
23.3%
Stronger#1
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.Widest gap · 46 places
1.14
#48
2.29
Stronger#2
TTU offensevsBYU defense
TTU offense ranks better in 4 of 6 matchups · BYU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Passing · points added per playPoints added per pass play; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.27
#39slight
+0.10
#45
Rushing · points added per playPoints added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.14
#41slight
+0.04
#54
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
49%
#12slight
33%
#20
Finishing drives · points per opportunityPoints per drive reaching the opponent's 40; the defense's is what it allows.
4.00
#42
3.29
slight#35
Havoc · faced vs createdTackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups per play: faced by the offense, created by the defense.
15.2%
#63slight
15.8%
#64
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.Widest gap · 51 places
1.29
#72
1.71
Stronger#21
Every measure, ranked
29 measures per pairing+
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 135 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
BYU offenseTTU defense
Points added / passExpected points added per pass play.favors TTU
+0.19#63▼
−0.20#1▼
Pass success ratefavors TTU
44%#48
31%#3
Pass explosivenessAverage points added on successful pass plays: how big the wins are.favors TTU
1.50#93
1.39#9
Yards / pass attemptfavors TTU
7.7#44
5.4#4
Explosive pass rateDropbacks gaining 20+ yards. All plays.favors TTU
10.3%#66
6.7%#4▲
Sack rate / Sack rate generatedSacks per dropback. Lower is better for an offense; the defense column shows sacks they create.favors BYU
Points in the 1st half:BYU scores 52% · allows 57%TTU scores 49% · allows 49%league 52%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4–5 in 2026, 12–13 in 2025
BYUTTUsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 15.1 scored
League 38% pass
BYU6 games
Scored15.3
Allowed8.8
Pass share31%
25–37% · 169 plays
TTU13 games
Scored19.2
Allowed5.5
Pass share39%
36–43% · 440 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 13.2 scored
League 46% pass
BYU6 games
Scored16.2
Allowed6.8
Pass share36%
29–43% · 196 plays
TTU2 games · small sample
Scored14.5
Allowed13.0
Pass share52%
65 plays · too few games for a range
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.2 scored
League 52% pass
BYU5 games
Scored12.0
Allowed9.4
Pass share59%
48–70% · 160 plays
TTU2 games · small sample
Scored13.0
Allowed8.5
Pass share46%
71 plays · too few games for a range
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (a sack counts as a carry, as college stats score it; a few plays whose names could not be matched are missing). The range counts games, not plays. League = every tracked college team's last 17 games (138 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4–5 in 2026, 12–13 in 2025
BYUat the half: led 6 · within 3 in 6 · trailed 5 (of 17)
7.1
5.2Q1
8.9
5.6Q2
15.9scored10.8allowedleague 14.6
1st half
5.8
3.0Q3
8.3
5.1Q4
TTUat the half: led 13 · within 3 in 2 · trailed 2 (of 17)
8.5
2.4Q1
8.7
4.1Q2
17.2scored6.5allowedleague 14.6
1st half
7.9
2.6Q3
10.0
4.1Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 6.1 · Q2 8.5 · Q3 6.0 · Q4 7.0
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
BYUTTU
12-2
Record
12-2
31.4
Points for / game
39.4
19.1
Points against / game
11.8
7-0 / 5-2
Home / road
8-1 / 4-1
W L W W W
Last 5
L W W W W
2025 season only (not a rolling window) · 14 games each.
AdvancedEfficiency and talent measures for both teams; green marks the better side.◷History
BYUTTU
+15.9
Team rating (this season)Points better (+) or worse (−) than an average team.
+27.6
0.161
Offense points added / playPoints the offense adds per play, garbage time excluded.
0.189
0.032
Defense points added / playPoints added per play the defense allows; lower is better.
-0.274
46% / 39%
Success rate (off / def)
43% / 30%
1.19 / 1.22
Explosiveness (off / def)
1.35 / 1.09
649
Talent compositeRoster talent rating from recruiting; higher = more talent.
757
38%
Returning production
59%
2025 season to date, garbage time excluded.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
BYUTTU
7-3 · 70%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
3-3 · 50%
Last two seasons (2024–2025), BYU 27 games, TTU 27. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2023Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
1BYUseriesTTU2
Avg total points
39.3
Meetings
3
They meet only some seasons (2 of the 4 in our history). TTU have won the last 2.
2025BYU 7 vs TTU 34TTU
2025BYU 7 at TTU 29TTU
2023TTU 14 at BYU 27BYU
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
