Valkyries at Dream: WNBA, Oct 24, 2026

The Valkyries beat the Dream 67–62 in Atlanta on Oct 24, 2026.

Golden State Valkyries32-12 · 15-7 on the road

67

Atlanta Dream30-14 · 15-7 at home

62

FinalSat, Oct 24

State Farm Arena · Atlanta, GA

WNBA FinalsGame 4 · Series tied 2-2Bracket →

Spread

ATL -5.5

(-108) ▲ 1 since open

Total

153.5

GS ML

+165

ATL ML

-200

Closing line

3 books · best GS +165 BetMGM · ATL -200 BetMGM

Model's read

How the model's winner call for this game did, graded in public.

See the model’s call (graded) →

RecapProps (6)StatsHead to head

Line score◷History

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
GS	16	26	12	13	67
ATL	11	15	19	17	62

Top performersiEach team's three leading scorers in this game, with rebounds and assists. The full box score is below.◷History

Golden State Valkyries

• Gabby WilliamsF

  17 pts · 5 reb · 3 ast · 3 stl
  7-21 FG

  0-6 3PT
• Veronica BurtonG

  13 pts · 3 reb · 5 ast
  4-17 FG

  2-7 3PT
• Tiffany HayesG

  13 pts · 5 reb
  5-10 FG

  0-2 3PT

Atlanta Dream

• Rhyne HowardG

  19 pts · 8 reb · 1 ast
  6-14 FG

  2-8 3PT
• Jordin CanadaG

  10 pts · 1 reb · 4 ast
  3-8 FG

  0-3 3PT
• Isobel BorlaseG

  10 pts · 2 reb
  3-6 FG

  1-3 3PT

Box score◷History

every player+

GS	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Veronica Burton	38	13	3	5	2	2	0	4-17	2-7	3-4	+3
Gabby Williams	37	17	5	3	3	0	1	7-21	0-6	3-3	+7
Kiah Stokes	31	4	16	0	0	3	3	2-5	0-2	0-0	-2
Kaila Charles	29	5	5	1	0	0	1	2-6	0-3	1-2	+14
Tiffany Hayes	25	13	5	0	0	0	2	5-10	0-2	3-3	-17
Cecilia Zandalasini	18	10	1	1	3	0	2	4-8	1-3	1-1	+20
Kayla Thornton	17	3	3	0	0	0	0	1-2	1-2	0-0	0
Janelle Salaun	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	0-0	0-0	-2
Kaitlyn Chen	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0-0	0-0	+2
Totals		67	38	10	8	5	9	26-72	4-25	11-13

ATL	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Rhyne Howard	37	19	8	1	0	1	3	6-14	2-8	5-7	-6
Jordin Canada	36	10	1	4	0	0	2	3-8	0-3	4-6	-1
Naz Hillmon	35	6	9	1	0	0	0	2-2	0-0	2-2	-4
Angel Reese	34	8	9	3	1	3	6	2-12	0-1	4-6	+1
Allisha Gray	22	5	5	0	0	2	2	1-7	0-4	3-4	+1
Isobel Borlase	22	10	2	0	2	0	3	3-6	1-3	3-4	-7
DeWanna Bonner	12	4	3	0	1	0	1	1-5	1-4	1-2	-9
Madina Okot	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0
Totals		62	37	9	4	6	17	18-54	4-23	22-31

Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.

Team statsiTeam stats: green marks the better side; a longer bar is a bigger number, not always a better one.◷History

GSATL

36.1%

Field goals?Made-attempted: away 26-72, home 18-54.

33.3%

16.0%

Three-pointers?Made-attempted: away 4-25, home 4-23.

17.4%

84.6%

Free throws?Made-attempted: away 11-13, home 22-31.

71.0%

38

Rebounds

37

13

Offensive rebounds

12

10

Assists

9

9

Turnovers?Fewer is better.

18

8

Steals

4

5

Blocks

6

38

Points in the paint

28

7

Fast-break points

2

26

Fouls?Fewer is better.

19

This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).

Shot mapiEvery charted field-goal attempt of the game: a dot for a make, an X for a miss. Filter by shot type or team.◷History

All shotsThreesPaint

Both teamsGSATL

Team	Made	FG%	3PT
GS	26-72	36%	4-24 17%
ATL	18-54	33%	4-22 18%

• made
• missed

From charted shot locations; free throws have none. Both teams are drawn at one basket. Made and FG% follow the shot type chosen above; 3PT is always the threes. Descriptive history of this game.

MarketiEach book's moneyline, spread and total (best price boxed), plus the no-vig implied win %.◇Market

3 books · lines as of the last update

GS 36%No-vig win chanceiEach side's chance from the moneylines with the books' margin taken out. The market's view, not ours.64% ATL

• BetMGM

  Moneyline

  GS+165ATL-200

  Spread

  ATL -5.5 (-102)

  Total

  153.5Over-110Under-110

• DraftKings

  Moneyline

  GS—ATL—

  Spread

  ATL -5.5 (-112)

  Total

  153.5Over-110Under-110

• FanDuel

  Moneyline

  GS—ATL—

  Spread

  ATL -5.5 (-108)

  Total

  153.5Over-112Under-108

Book	GS ML	ATL ML	Spread	Total	Over	Under
BetMGM	+165	-200	ATL -5.5 (-102)	153.5	-110	-110
DraftKings	—	—	ATL -5.5 (-112)	153.5	-110	-110
FanDuel	—	—	ATL -5.5 (-108)	153.5	-112	-108

Line movement

SpreadATL −4.5 → ATL −5.5

first seen Oct 23close · Oct 24

Total153.5 → 153.5

first seen Oct 23close · Oct 24

MoneylineATL 64% → ATL 64%

first seen Oct 23close · Oct 24

Closing line

Spread

ATL −5.5

Total

153.5

Moneyline

ATL 64%

Hover or tap a chart to read any hour; click to pin it.

Each line is the number most books post, a step at each hour a book changed one, since we first priced the game; the band is the lowest and highest number any book had up then (ring = first seen, dot = the close). Spread: higher = the home side laying more. The moneyline is the home side's win chance with the books' margin removed.

Going into the game · matchup numbers, form, rest+

Where each offense has the advantage: the four factorsiEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces in shooting, turnovers, rebounding and free throws, one bar per factor: longer = a better setup for the offense; volt = the offense ranks clearly better, orange = the defense does.◷History

A longer bar = a better setup for the offense: half from how high the offense ranks, half from how low the defense across from it ranks (of 15). A full bar is the best offense against the worst defense; the dashed tick is an even matchup. Biggest advantage first.

offense ranks 3+ places betterdefense ranks 3+ places betterno clear gap

→When GS has the ballGS offense against ATL defense

ATL's defense has it in offensive rebounding %.

• TurnoversGS #1 vs ATL #1
• ShootingGS #12 vs ATL #11
• Free throw rateGS #13 vs ATL #11
• Offensive rebounding %GS #4 vs ATL #1

→When ATL has the ballATL offense against GS defense

ATL has the clear advantage in offensive rebounding % and free throw rate; GS's defense has it in shooting.

• Offensive rebounding %ATL #2 vs GS #7
• Free throw rateATL #3 vs GS #8
• TurnoversATL #4 vs GS #2
• ShootingATL #8 vs GS #1

+Both ranks side by side, with every value

ranks betterranks worseStronger3+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 15 (#1 = best)

GS offensevsATL defense

GS offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · ATL defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even

Shooting · effective FG%?Field-goal percentage with threes counted at 1.5; the defense's number is what it allows.

49.9%

#12

53.1%

slight#11

Turnovers · per 100 plays?Turnovers the offense commits (fewer is better) and the turnovers the defense forces.· even

13.1%

#1

17.8%

#1

Offensive rebounding %?Share of its own misses the offense rebounds; the defense's number is what it allows.

26.8%

#4

20.1%

Stronger#1

Free throw rate?Free throws made per field-goal attempt; the defense's number is what it allows.

21.0%

#13

24.4%

slight#11

ATL offensevsGS defense

ATL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · GS defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%?Field-goal percentage with threes counted at 1.5; the defense's number is what it allows.

50.5%

#8

47.8%

Stronger#1

Turnovers · per 100 plays?Turnovers the offense commits (fewer is better) and the turnovers the defense forces.

14.0%

#4

16.9%

slight#2

Offensive rebounding %?Share of its own misses the offense rebounds; the defense's number is what it allows.

30.1%

#2Stronger

24.5%

#7

Free throw rate?Free throws made per field-goal attempt; the defense's number is what it allows.

26.8%

#3Stronger

23.8%

#8

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 15 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesiHeadline ratings, then the biggest mismatches between one team's offense and the other's defense.◷History

GSATL

+9.0 1stNet rating?Points scored minus points allowed per 100 possessions3rd +8.2

104.8 7thOffensive rating?Points scored per 100 possessions5th 108.6

95.8 1stDefensive rating?Points allowed per 100 possessions (rank 1 = allows least)2nd 100.4

78.4 15thPace?Possessions per game (rank 1 = fastest)5th 84.1

Expected pace: about 81 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 15 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

• 
  GS 3-point shooting

  GS offense 34.4% (6th) vs ATL defense allowing 34.8% (11th)
  +5 spots
• 
  ATL offensive rebounding

  ATL offense 30.1% (2nd) vs GS defense allowing 24.5% (7th)
  +5 spots
• 
  ATL getting to the line

  ATL offense 26.8% (3rd) vs GS defense allowing 23.8% (8th)
  +5 spots

ContextiEach team's last ten days going into this game (filled = home, outline = road; travel distance is not tracked)◷History

last 10 days

TFSSMTWTFGame

GS

ATL

ATL

ATL

ATL

2 days rest

TFSSMTWTFGame

ATL

GS

GS

GS

GS

2 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

Crew chiefRoy Gulbeyan · also working Tim Greene, Marcy Williams

His recent games+

Personal fouls

per game, both teams

41.1

≈ in line with the league average (39.6)

Free-throw attempts

per game, both teams

43.1

≈ in line with the league average (41.6)

Possessions

per team per game

83.6

≈ in line with the league average (83.0)

Counts per game across his last 40 games next to the league's over the same dates (bar: 90% range, dot: his average, line: the league's). History, not a forecast.

GS · last 10

32-12 · 2 days rest

• Oct 21 @ ATLL 71–97
• Oct 19 vs ATLL 65–79
• Oct 17 vs ATLW 68–64
• Oct 9 @ LVW 87–77
• Oct 7 vs LVW 83–81
• Oct 4 vs LVW 71–60
• Oct 2 vs DALW 77–73
• Sep 30 @ DALL 100–108
• Sep 27 vs DALW 104–80
• Sep 24 @ LAW 76–75

7-3 in these

ATL · last 10

30-14 · 2 days rest

• Oct 21 vs GSW 97–71
• Oct 19 @ GSW 79–65
• Oct 17 @ GSL 64–68
• Oct 9 @ NYW 85–83
• Oct 7 vs NYW 101–98
• Oct 4 vs NYW 92–82
• Sep 30 @ WSHW 93–75
• Sep 27 vs WSHW 92–77
• Sep 23 @ NYW 83–65
• Sep 21 @ NYW 95–84

9-1 in these

From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.