Valkyries at Dream: WNBA, Oct 21, 2026

The Dream beat the Valkyries 97–71 at home on Oct 21, 2026.

Golden State Valkyries32-12 · 15-7 on the road

71

Atlanta Dream30-14 · 15-7 at home

97

FinalWed, Oct 21

State Farm Arena · Atlanta, GA

WNBA FinalsGame 3 · ATL leads 2-1Bracket →

Spread

ATL -3.5

(-130)

Total

152.5

▲ 1 since open

GS ML

+150

ATL ML

-185

Closing line

3 books · best GS +154 DraftKings · ATL -174 FanDuel

Model's read

How the model's winner call for this game did, graded in public.

See the model’s call (graded) →

RecapProps (15)StatsHead to head

Line score◷History

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
GS	15	25	17	14	71
ATL	23	23	25	26	97

Top performersiEach team's three leading scorers in this game, with rebounds and assists. The full box score is below.◷History

Golden State Valkyries

• Gabby WilliamsF

  15 pts · 2 reb · 8 ast · 3 stl
  5-18 FG

  3-8 3PT
• Tiffany HayesG

  14 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast
  6-13 FG

  1-4 3PT
• Cecilia ZandalasiniF

  13 pts · 1 reb · 1 ast
  4-8 FG

  4-6 3PT

Atlanta Dream

• Angel ReeseF

  21 pts · 12 reb · 3 ast · 3 stl · Double-double
  7-12 FG

  2-2 3PT
• Rhyne HowardG

  16 pts · 4 reb · 4 ast · 5 stl
  4-11 FG

  1-2 3PT
• Naz HillmonF

  15 pts · 2 reb
  6-10 FG

  3-5 3PT

Box score◷History

every player+

GS	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Gabby Williams	34	15	2	8	3	0	4	5-18	3-8	2-3	-16
Veronica Burton	29	3	2	4	1	1	3	1-7	1-4	0-0	-7
Kiah Stokes	26	2	11	1	1	3	1	1-3	0-1	0-0	-7
Cecilia Zandalasini	21	13	1	1	1	0	1	4-8	4-6	1-2	-11
Kayla Thornton	13	0	5	0	0	0	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	-12
Tiffany Hayes	24	14	3	1	0	0	1	6-13	1-4	1-1	-17
Kaila Charles	15	3	5	1	0	0	2	0-1	0-0	3-4	-12
Janelle Salaun	12	13	2	0	0	0	1	5-7	3-4	0-3	-7
Aminata Gueye	11	6	3	0	0	1	1	1-5	0-1	4-4	-14
Kaitlyn Chen	11	2	0	2	0	0	0	1-5	0-1	0-0	-19
Laeticia Amihere	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	-4
Juste Jocyte	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-4
Totals		71	34	19	6	5	15	24-69	12-30	11-17

ATL	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Angel Reese	34	21	12	3	3	0	2	7-12	2-2	5-5	+12
Jordin Canada	33	10	6	8	1	1	4	4-10	0-3	2-3	+13
Allisha Gray	29	8	2	6	0	0	1	2-8	0-4	4-6	+11
Rhyne Howard	27	16	4	4	5	1	0	4-11	1-2	7-10	+15
Naz Hillmon	27	15	2	0	0	1	0	6-10	3-5	0-1	+17
Isobel Borlase	26	12	5	2	0	1	0	5-10	1-2	1-2	+21
DeWanna Bonner	17	7	4	0	0	0	1	3-4	1-2	0-1	+17
Sika Kone	2	5	2	1	0	0	0	2-2	1-1	0-0	+6
Madina Okot	2	3	0	1	0	0	0	1-1	0-0	1-1	+6
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	+6
Te-Hina Paopao	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	+6
Totals		97	37	26	9	4	8	34-69	9-22	20-29

Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.

Team statsiTeam stats: green marks the better side; a longer bar is a bigger number, not always a better one.◷History

GSATL

34.8%

Field goals?Made-attempted: away 24-69, home 34-69.

49.3%

40.0%

Three-pointers?Made-attempted: away 12-30, home 9-22.

40.9%

64.7%

Free throws?Made-attempted: away 11-17, home 20-29.

69.0%

34

Rebounds

37

9

Offensive rebounds

6

19

Assists

26

17

Turnovers?Fewer is better.

10

6

Steals

9

5

Blocks

4

20

Points in the paint

44

5

Fast-break points

13

21

Fouls?Fewer is better.

17

This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).

Shot mapiEvery charted field-goal attempt of the game: a dot for a make, an X for a miss. Filter by shot type or team.◷History

All shotsThreesPaint

Both teamsGSATL

Team	Made	FG%	3PT
GS	24-69	35%	12-27 44%
ATL	34-69	49%	8-20 40%

• made
• missed

From charted shot locations; free throws have none. Both teams are drawn at one basket. Made and FG% follow the shot type chosen above; 3PT is always the threes. Descriptive history of this game.

MarketiEach book's moneyline, spread and total (best price boxed), plus the no-vig implied win %.◇Market

3 books · lines as of the last update

GS 38%No-vig win chanceiEach side's chance from the moneylines with the books' margin taken out. The market's view, not ours.62% ATL

• BetMGM

  Moneyline

  GS+150ATL-185

  Spread

  ATL -3.5 (-130)

  Total

  152.5Over-115Under-105

• DraftKings

  Moneyline

  GS+154ATL-185

  Spread

  ATL -4.5 (-108)

  Total

  153.5Over-105Under-115

• FanDuel

  Moneyline

  GS+146ATL-174

  Spread

  ATL -3.5 (-115)

  Total

  152.5Over-118Under-104

Book	GS ML	ATL ML	Spread	Total	Over	Under
BetMGM	+150	-185	ATL -3.5 (-130)	152.5	-115	-105
DraftKings	+154	-185	ATL -4.5 (-108)	153.5	-105	-115
FanDuel	+146	-174	ATL -3.5 (-115)	152.5	-118	-104

Line movement

SpreadATL −3.5 → ATL −3.5

first seen Oct 20close · Oct 21

Total151.5 → 152.5

first seen Oct 20close · Oct 21

MoneylineATL 59% → ATL 62%

first seen Oct 20close · Oct 21

Closing line

Spread

ATL −3.5

Total

152.5

Moneyline

ATL 62%

Hover or tap a chart to read any hour; click to pin it.

Each line is the number most books post, a step at each hour a book changed one, since we first priced the game; the band is the lowest and highest number any book had up then (ring = first seen, dot = the close). Spread: higher = the home side laying more. The moneyline is the home side's win chance with the books' margin removed.

Going into the game · matchup numbers, form, rest+

Where each offense has the advantage: the four factorsiEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces in shooting, turnovers, rebounding and free throws, one bar per factor: longer = a better setup for the offense; volt = the offense ranks clearly better, orange = the defense does.◷History

A longer bar = a better setup for the offense: half from how high the offense ranks, half from how low the defense across from it ranks (of 15). A full bar is the best offense against the worst defense; the dashed tick is an even matchup. Biggest advantage first.

offense ranks 3+ places betterdefense ranks 3+ places betterno clear gap

→When GS has the ballGS offense against ATL defense

ATL's defense has it in offensive rebounding %.

• TurnoversGS #1 vs ATL #1
• ShootingGS #12 vs ATL #11
• Free throw rateGS #13 vs ATL #11
• Offensive rebounding %GS #4 vs ATL #1

→When ATL has the ballATL offense against GS defense

ATL has the clear advantage in offensive rebounding % and free throw rate; GS's defense has it in shooting.

• Offensive rebounding %ATL #2 vs GS #7
• Free throw rateATL #3 vs GS #8
• TurnoversATL #4 vs GS #2
• ShootingATL #8 vs GS #1

+Both ranks side by side, with every value

ranks betterranks worseStronger3+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 15 (#1 = best)

GS offensevsATL defense

GS offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · ATL defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even

Shooting · effective FG%?Field-goal percentage with threes counted at 1.5; the defense's number is what it allows.

49.9%

#12

53.1%

slight#11

Turnovers · per 100 plays?Turnovers the offense commits (fewer is better) and the turnovers the defense forces.· even

13.1%

#1

17.8%

#1

Offensive rebounding %?Share of its own misses the offense rebounds; the defense's number is what it allows.

26.8%

#4

20.1%

Stronger#1

Free throw rate?Free throws made per field-goal attempt; the defense's number is what it allows.

21.0%

#13

24.4%

slight#11

ATL offensevsGS defense

ATL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · GS defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%?Field-goal percentage with threes counted at 1.5; the defense's number is what it allows.

50.5%

#8

47.8%

Stronger#1

Turnovers · per 100 plays?Turnovers the offense commits (fewer is better) and the turnovers the defense forces.

14.0%

#4

16.9%

slight#2

Offensive rebounding %?Share of its own misses the offense rebounds; the defense's number is what it allows.

30.1%

#2Stronger

24.5%

#7

Free throw rate?Free throws made per field-goal attempt; the defense's number is what it allows.

26.8%

#3Stronger

23.8%

#8

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 15 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesiHeadline ratings, then the biggest mismatches between one team's offense and the other's defense.◷History

GSATL

+9.0 1stNet rating?Points scored minus points allowed per 100 possessions3rd +8.2

104.8 7thOffensive rating?Points scored per 100 possessions5th 108.6

95.8 1stDefensive rating?Points allowed per 100 possessions (rank 1 = allows least)2nd 100.4

78.4 15thPace?Possessions per game (rank 1 = fastest)5th 84.1

Expected pace: about 81 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 15 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

• 
  GS 3-point shooting

  GS offense 34.4% (6th) vs ATL defense allowing 34.8% (11th)
  +5 spots
• 
  ATL offensive rebounding

  ATL offense 30.1% (2nd) vs GS defense allowing 24.5% (7th)
  +5 spots
• 
  ATL getting to the line

  ATL offense 26.8% (3rd) vs GS defense allowing 23.8% (8th)
  +5 spots

ContextiEach team's last ten days going into this game (filled = home, outline = road; travel distance is not tracked)◷History

last 10 days

MTWTFSSMTGame

GS

LV

ATL

ATL

ATL

1 day rest

MTWTFSSMTGame

ATL

NY

GS

GS

GS

1 day rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

Crew chiefFatou Cissoko-Stephens · also working Ryan Sassano, Amy Bonner

His recent games+

Personal fouls

per game, both teams

39.6

▲ above the league average (37.6, +5.4%)

Free-throw attempts

per game, both teams

41.4

≈ in line with the league average (39.3)

Possessions

per team per game

83.3

≈ in line with the league average (82.2)

Counts per game across his last 40 games next to the league's over the same dates (bar: 90% range, dot: his average, line: the league's). History, not a forecast.

GS · last 10

32-12 · 1 day rest

• Oct 19 vs ATLL 65–79
• Oct 17 vs ATLW 68–64
• Oct 9 @ LVW 87–77
• Oct 7 vs LVW 83–81
• Oct 4 vs LVW 71–60
• Oct 2 vs DALW 77–73
• Sep 30 @ DALL 100–108
• Sep 27 vs DALW 104–80
• Sep 24 @ LAW 76–75
• Sep 22 @ PORL 82–90

7-3 in these

ATL · last 10

30-14 · 1 day rest

• Oct 19 @ GSW 79–65
• Oct 17 @ GSL 64–68
• Oct 9 @ NYW 85–83
• Oct 7 vs NYW 101–98
• Oct 4 vs NYW 92–82
• Sep 30 @ WSHW 93–75
• Sep 27 vs WSHW 92–77
• Sep 23 @ NYW 83–65
• Sep 21 @ NYW 95–84
• Sep 19 vs CHIW 106–81

9-1 in these

From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.