Dream at Valkyries: WNBA, Oct 19, 2026

The Dream beat the Valkyries 79–65 in Golden State on Oct 19, 2026.

Atlanta Dream30-14 · 15-7 on the road

79

Golden State Valkyries32-12 · 17-5 at home

65

FinalMon, Oct 19

Chase Center · San Francisco, CA

WNBA FinalsGame 2 · Series tied 1-1Bracket →

Spread

GS -1.5

(-118) ▼ 1 since open

Total

152.5

ATL ML

+110

GS ML

-130

Closing line

3 books · best ATL +112 FanDuel · GS -125 BetMGM

Model's read

How the model's winner call for this game did, graded in public.

See the model’s call (graded) →

RecapProps (14)StatsHead to head

Line score◷History

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
ATL	18	21	21	19	79
GS	21	16	9	19	65

Top performersiEach team's three leading scorers in this game, with rebounds and assists. The full box score is below.◷History

Atlanta Dream

• Angel ReeseF

  30 pts · 16 reb · 3 ast · Double-double
  10-16 FG

  1-1 3PT
• Allisha GrayG

  18 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast
  4-11 FG

  3-6 3PT
• Jordin CanadaG

  13 pts · 7 reb · 10 ast · Double-double
  3-14 FG

  2-6 3PT

Golden State Valkyries

• Tiffany HayesG

  14 pts · 2 reb · 3 ast
  5-11 FG

  0-3 3PT
• Gabby WilliamsF

  14 pts · 2 reb · 1 ast · 4 stl
  3-15 FG

  1-6 3PT
• Veronica BurtonG

  11 pts · 7 reb · 2 ast
  4-9 FG

  2-4 3PT

Box score◷History

every player+

ATL	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Jordin Canada	36	13	7	10	1	0	4	3-14	2-6	5-6	+9
Angel Reese	34	30	16	3	1	2	2	10-16	1-1	9-11	+13
Allisha Gray	34	18	5	1	1	0	2	4-11	3-6	7-8	+20
Naz Hillmon	30	2	4	0	0	0	2	0-2	0-1	2-2	+14
Rhyne Howard	27	5	2	2	6	1	1	2-7	1-5	0-0	-2
DeWanna Bonner	20	9	2	0	4	0	1	2-7	0-3	5-6	+12
Isobel Borlase	17	2	0	1	1	1	1	0-5	0-3	2-2	+9
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-2
Madina Okot	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	-3
Totals		79	36	17	14	4	14	21-62	7-25	30-35

GS	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Kiah Stokes	30	0	11	0	0	4	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	-14
Gabby Williams	27	14	2	1	4	0	3	3-15	1-6	7-7	-12
Veronica Burton	24	11	7	2	2	1	3	4-9	2-4	1-1	-8
Kayla Thornton	19	2	2	0	1	1	0	1-3	0-1	0-0	+7
Cecilia Zandalasini	17	5	0	1	0	1	3	1-8	1-4	2-2	0
Kaila Charles	26	9	3	0	0	1	2	3-7	3-5	0-0	-19
Tiffany Hayes	25	14	2	3	1	0	3	5-11	0-3	4-7	-18
Kaitlyn Chen	18	8	1	3	0	0	1	3-4	0-0	2-2	-4
Laeticia Amihere	8	2	2	0	0	0	0	1-1	0-0	0-0	-1
Janelle Salaun	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-2	0-1	0-0	-2
Aminata Gueye	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-1	0-0	0-0	+1
Totals		65	32	10	8	8	18	21-61	7-24	16-19

Starters first, then by minutes. +/- is the team's point margin while he was on the floor.

Team statsiTeam stats: green marks the better side; a longer bar is a bigger number, not always a better one.◷History

ATLGS

33.9%

Field goals?Made-attempted: away 21-62, home 21-61.

34.4%

28.0%

Three-pointers?Made-attempted: away 7-25, home 7-24.

29.2%

85.7%

Free throws?Made-attempted: away 30-35, home 16-19.

84.2%

36

Rebounds

32

8

Offensive rebounds

6

17

Assists

10

14

Turnovers?Fewer is better.

19

14

Steals

8

4

Blocks

8

24

Points in the paint

26

19

Fast-break points

0

18

Fouls?Fewer is better.

23

This game's box score totals; green marks the better side (fewer turnovers and fouls are better).

Shot mapiEvery charted field-goal attempt of the game: a dot for a make, an X for a miss. Filter by shot type or team.◷History

All shotsThreesPaint

Both teamsATLGS

Team	Made	FG%	3PT
ATL	21-61	34%	7-24 29%
GS	21-61	34%	7-23 30%

• made
• missed

From charted shot locations; free throws have none. Both teams are drawn at one basket. Made and FG% follow the shot type chosen above; 3PT is always the threes. 1 heave from beyond half court is left off the map. Descriptive history of this game.

MarketiEach book's moneyline, spread and total (best price boxed), plus the no-vig implied win %.◇Market

3 books · lines as of the last update

ATL 46%No-vig win chanceiEach side's chance from the moneylines with the books' margin taken out. The market's view, not ours.54% GS

• BetMGM

  Moneyline

  ATL+105GS-125

  Spread

  GS -1.5 (-115)

  Total

  152.5Over-115Under-105

• DraftKings

  Moneyline

  ATL+110GS-130

  Spread

  GS -1.5 (-118)

  Total

  152.5Over-110Under-110

• FanDuel

  Moneyline

  ATL+112GS-132

  Spread

  GS -1.5 (-118)

  Total

  152.5Over-112Under-108

Book	ATL ML	GS ML	Spread	Total	Over	Under
BetMGM	+105	-125	GS -1.5 (-115)	152.5	-115	-105
DraftKings	+110	-130	GS -1.5 (-118)	152.5	-110	-110
FanDuel	+112	-132	GS -1.5 (-118)	152.5	-112	-108

Line movement

SpreadGS −2.5 → GS −1.5

first seen Oct 18close · Oct 19

Total152.5 → 152.5

first seen Oct 18close · Oct 19

MoneylineGS 56% → GS 54%

first seen Oct 18close · Oct 19

Closing line

Spread

GS −1.5

Total

152.5

Moneyline

GS 54%

Hover or tap a chart to read any hour; click to pin it.

Each line is the number most books post, a step at each hour a book changed one, since we first priced the game; the band is the lowest and highest number any book had up then (ring = first seen, dot = the close). Spread: higher = the home side laying more. The moneyline is the home side's win chance with the books' margin removed.

Going into the game · matchup numbers, form, rest+

Where each offense has the advantage: the four factorsiEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces in shooting, turnovers, rebounding and free throws, one bar per factor: longer = a better setup for the offense; volt = the offense ranks clearly better, orange = the defense does.◷History

A longer bar = a better setup for the offense: half from how high the offense ranks, half from how low the defense across from it ranks (of 15). A full bar is the best offense against the worst defense; the dashed tick is an even matchup. Biggest advantage first.

offense ranks 3+ places betterdefense ranks 3+ places betterno clear gap

→When ATL has the ballATL offense against GS defense

ATL has the clear advantage in offensive rebounding % and free throw rate; GS's defense has it in shooting.

• Offensive rebounding %ATL #2 vs GS #7
• Free throw rateATL #3 vs GS #8
• TurnoversATL #4 vs GS #2
• ShootingATL #8 vs GS #1

→When GS has the ballGS offense against ATL defense

ATL's defense has it in offensive rebounding %.

• TurnoversGS #1 vs ATL #1
• ShootingGS #12 vs ATL #11
• Free throw rateGS #13 vs ATL #11
• Offensive rebounding %GS #4 vs ATL #1

+Both ranks side by side, with every value

ranks betterranks worseStronger3+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 15 (#1 = best)

ATL offensevsGS defense

ATL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · GS defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%?Field-goal percentage with threes counted at 1.5; the defense's number is what it allows.

50.5%

#8

47.8%

Stronger#1

Turnovers · per 100 plays?Turnovers the offense commits (fewer is better) and the turnovers the defense forces.

14.0%

#4

16.9%

slight#2

Offensive rebounding %?Share of its own misses the offense rebounds; the defense's number is what it allows.

30.1%

#2Stronger

24.5%

#7

Free throw rate?Free throws made per field-goal attempt; the defense's number is what it allows.

26.8%

#3Stronger

23.8%

#8

GS offensevsATL defense

GS offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · ATL defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even

Shooting · effective FG%?Field-goal percentage with threes counted at 1.5; the defense's number is what it allows.

49.9%

#12

53.1%

slight#11

Turnovers · per 100 plays?Turnovers the offense commits (fewer is better) and the turnovers the defense forces.· even

13.1%

#1

17.8%

#1

Offensive rebounding %?Share of its own misses the offense rebounds; the defense's number is what it allows.

26.8%

#4

20.1%

Stronger#1

Free throw rate?Free throws made per field-goal attempt; the defense's number is what it allows.

21.0%

#13

24.4%

slight#11

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 15 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesiHeadline ratings, then the biggest mismatches between one team's offense and the other's defense.◷History

ATLGS

+8.2 3rdNet rating?Points scored minus points allowed per 100 possessions1st +9.0

108.6 5thOffensive rating?Points scored per 100 possessions7th 104.8

100.4 2ndDefensive rating?Points allowed per 100 possessions (rank 1 = allows least)1st 95.8

84.1 5thPace?Possessions per game (rank 1 = fastest)15th 78.4

Expected pace: about 81 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 15 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

• 
  ATL offensive rebounding

  ATL offense 30.1% (2nd) vs GS defense allowing 24.5% (7th)
  +5 spots
• 
  ATL getting to the line

  ATL offense 26.8% (3rd) vs GS defense allowing 23.8% (8th)
  +5 spots
• 
  GS 3-point shooting

  GS offense 34.4% (6th) vs ATL defense allowing 34.8% (11th)
  +5 spots

ContextiEach team's last ten days going into this game (filled = home, outline = road; travel distance is not tracked)◷History

last 10 days

SSMTWTFSSGame

ATL

NY

NY

GS

GS

1 day rest

SSMTWTFSSGame

GS

LV

LV

ATL

ATL

1 day rest3rd straight home game

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

Crew chiefAgon Abazi · also working Tiara Cruse, Angel Kent, Kevin Fahy

His recent games+

Personal fouls

per game, both teams

39.0

≈ in line with the league average (37.3)

Free-throw attempts

per game, both teams

42.4

≈ in line with the league average (39.0)

Possessions

per team per game

82.9

≈ in line with the league average (82.1)

Counts per game across his last 9 games next to the league's over the same dates (bar: 90% range, dot: his average, line: the league's). History, not a forecast; a small sample under 15 games.

ATL · last 10

30-14 · 1 day rest

• Oct 17 @ GSL 64–68
• Oct 9 @ NYW 85–83
• Oct 7 vs NYW 101–98
• Oct 4 vs NYW 92–82
• Sep 30 @ WSHW 93–75
• Sep 27 vs WSHW 92–77
• Sep 23 @ NYW 83–65
• Sep 21 @ NYW 95–84
• Sep 19 vs CHIW 106–81
• Sep 17 vs CONW 103–59

9-1 in these

GS · last 10

32-12 · 1 day rest

• Oct 17 vs ATLW 68–64
• Oct 9 @ LVW 87–77
• Oct 7 vs LVW 83–81
• Oct 4 vs LVW 71–60
• Oct 2 vs DALW 77–73
• Sep 30 @ DALL 100–108
• Sep 27 vs DALW 104–80
• Sep 24 @ LAW 76–75
• Sep 22 @ PORL 82–90
• Sep 19 vs SEAW 70–57

8-2 in these

From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links may be affiliate links; we may earn a commission if you sign up through them.