Joel Álvarez
"El Fenomeno"
23-5 (5 KO · 17 SUB · 1 DEC)
Welterweight · 33 yrs · 6'3" · 77" reach · Orthodox · ESP
well-rounded
Output & defense
per-minute / per-15-min rates over 12 tracked UFC fights
Sig. strikes / min
4.5
Strike accuracy
53%
Absorbed / min
4.6
Strike defense
47%
Knockdowns / 15
0.17
Takedowns / 15
0.3
TD accuracy
33%
TD defense
57%
Sub attempts / 15
0.8
Ground adv. / 15
0.2
Pace & finishing
8.3
avg fight minutes
25%
go the distance
4
round-1 finish wins
7
finish wins (tracked)
strike targets: head 66% · body 21% · leg 13%
Probetrics vs Álvarez's fights 0/1 winners called
2026-08-15 · picked Joel Álvarez by KO/TKO✗
Fight history 12 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Chidi Njokuani | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 74/164 | 155 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Yaroslav Amosov | LSubmission · R2 | 8/22 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Vicente Luque | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 89/148 | 30 | 1/1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024-12-15 | Drakkar Klose | WKO/TKO · R1 | 20/24 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-08-03 | Elves Brener | WKO/TKO · R3 | 95/141 | 45 | 0/1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2023-07-22 | — | WSubmission · R2 | 42/75 | — | 0/1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2022-02-27 | Arman Tsarukyan | LKO/TKO · R2 | 7/10 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-11-13 | Thiago Moisés | WKO/TKO · R1 | 44/73 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-10-24 | — | WSubmission · R1 | 4/6 | — | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2020-07-18 | — | WSubmission · R1 | 18/37 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2019-06-01 | — | WKO/TKO · R2 | 19/41 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-02-23 | — | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 38/127 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Stats from official ESPN box scores over tracked UFC fights; career record covers all promotions. Model receipts show what Probetrics predicted before each fight — graded, not curated. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.