Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Geoff Neal

Geoff Neal

"Handz of Steel"
16-8 (10 KO · 2 SUB · 4 DEC)
Welterweight · 35 yrs · 5'11" · 75" reach · Southpaw · USA
volume strikerknockout power
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Output & defense
per-minute / per-15-min rates over 11 tracked UFC fights
Sig. strikes / min
4.8
Strike accuracy
53%
Absorbed / min
5.9
Strike defense
55%
Knockdowns / 15
0.53
Takedowns / 15
0.7
TD accuracy
45%
TD defense
85%
Sub attempts / 15
0.0
Ground adv. / 15
0.3
Pace & finishing
10.3
avg fight minutes
36%
go the distance
2
round-1 finish wins
4
finish wins (tracked)
strike targets: head 84% · body 8% · leg 7%
Fight history 11 tracked
DateOpponentResultSig. str.AbsorbedTDKDSub att.
2026-02-22Uroš MedićLKO/TKO · R13/1010000
2025-08-17Carlos PratesLKO/TKO · R125/49320/100
2024-10-26WKO/TKO · R118/3041/110
2024-02-18Ian Machado GarryLDecision - Split · R346/8967000
2023-03-05LSubmission · R369/145113000
2022-08-07Vicente LuqueWKO/TKO · R3121/211971/320
2021-12-12Santiago PonzinibbioWDecision - Split · R385/16191000
2021-05-09LDecision - Unanimous · R335/73551/200
2020-12-20Stephen ThompsonLDecision - Unanimous · R585/179171000
2019-12-15WKO/TKO · R115/23010
2019-07-28WKO/TKO · R241/61242/400

Stats from official ESPN box scores over tracked UFC fights; career record covers all promotions. Model receipts show what Probetrics predicted before each fight — graded, not curated. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.