Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Matt Schnell

Matt Schnell

"Danger"
17-11 (2 KO · 9 SUB · 6 DEC)
Flyweight · 36 yrs · 5'8" · 70" reach · Orthodox · USA
submission threat
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Output & defense
per-minute / per-15-min rates over 12 tracked UFC fights
Sig. strikes / min
4.2
Strike accuracy
43%
Absorbed / min
2.8
Strike defense
44%
Knockdowns / 15
0.18
Takedowns / 15
0.5
TD accuracy
50%
TD defense
30%
Sub attempts / 15
1.1
Ground adv. / 15
0.0
Pace & finishing
6.4
avg fight minutes
18%
go the distance
1
round-1 finish wins
2
finish wins (tracked)
strike targets: head 76% · body 14% · leg 9%
Fight history 11 tracked
DateOpponentResultSig. str.AbsorbedTDKDSub att.
2026-06-06Alessandro CostaLKO/TKO · R18/2119000
2025-11-09Joseph MoralesLSubmission · R14/1151/100
2025-04-26Jimmy FlickWDecision - Unanimous · R335/6112003
2024-09-07Cody DurdenLSubmission · R240/83340/100
2024-03-02Stephen ErcegLKO/TKO · R222/7834000
2022-12-04LKO/TKO · R220/5932000
2022-07-16SumudaerjiWSubmission · R247/81582/302
2022-05-08Brandon RoyvalLSubmission · R112/3314010
2021-01-20WDecision - Split · R385/214000
2019-12-21Alexandre PantojaLKO/TKO · R120/52340/100
2019-08-03WSubmission · R13/12001

Stats from official ESPN box scores over tracked UFC fights; career record covers all promotions. Model receipts show what Probetrics predicted before each fight — graded, not curated. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.