Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Chris Duncan

Chris Duncan

"The Problem"
15-3 (7 KO · 4 SUB · 4 DEC)
Lightweight · 33 yrs · 5'10" · 71" reach · Orthodox · SCT
wrestler
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Output & defense
per-minute / per-15-min rates over 12 tracked UFC fights
Sig. strikes / min
3.7
Strike accuracy
46%
Absorbed / min
3.5
Strike defense
51%
Knockdowns / 15
0.45
Takedowns / 15
2.2
TD accuracy
41%
TD defense
56%
Sub attempts / 15
0.4
Ground adv. / 15
0.0
Pace & finishing
8.4
avg fight minutes
33%
go the distance
3
round-1 finish wins
5
finish wins (tracked)
strike targets: head 60% · body 22% · leg 17%
Fight history 12 tracked
DateOpponentResultSig. str.AbsorbedTDKDSub att.
2026-04-05Renato MoicanoLSubmission · R227/62210/200
2025-12-07Terrance MckinneyWSubmission · R138/55311/211
2025-08-03Mateusz RębeckiWDecision - Unanimous · R392/2221140/100
2025-03-22Jordan VucenicWSubmission · R215/40164/511
2024-09-28Bolaji OkiWSubmission · R110/25280/101
2024-02-25Manuel TorresLSubmission · R11/231/300
2023-07-22Yanal AshmouzWDecision - Unanimous · R385/206352/400
2023-03-18WDecision - Split · R353/83475/1400
2022-08-03Charlie CampbellWKO/TKO · R115/35160/210
2022-02-05WDecision - Unanimous · R3
2021-10-13Viacheslav BorshchevLKO/TKO · R236/79412/300
2020-10-01WKO/TKO · R2

Stats from official ESPN box scores over tracked UFC fights; career record covers all promotions. Model receipts show what Probetrics predicted before each fight — graded, not curated. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.