Skip to main content
ProbetricsProbetrics

Chris Duncan

"The Problem"
15-3 (7 KO · 4 SUB · 4 DEC)
Lightweight · 33 yrs · 5'10" · 71" reach · Orthodox · 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCT
wrestlervolume strikersubmission threat
Simulate in Fight Lab →
Last 5 fights, newest first
  • LSUB R2
  • WSUB R1
  • WDEC R3
  • WSUB R2
  • WSUB R1

Next fight

UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit

Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET · Prelims · Lightweight · 3 rounds

Opponent
Drew Dober
29-15

No moneyline posted yet. It shows here once the books list the fight.

Chris Duncan (15-3) is a UFC lightweight fighter from SCT with 7 wins by KO/TKO, 4 by submission and 4 by decision; 12 tracked fights are listed below.

Fight DNAHis striking and grappling rates; the tick on each bar is his division's average. Tap a row for the sample.
rates from box-scored fights
Duncan12 fightsLightweight average
Striking
Grappling

Bars start at zero; a full bar is the top 5% of the division. Tap a row for what it measures and the sample behind it.

Tale of the tapeHeight and reach drawn to scale (reach is the arm span), beside his division's average build.
5'10"71"5'10"72"
Duncan
5'10" tall · 71" reach
Orthodox · 33 yrs
Lightweight avg
5'10" tall · 72" reach
division average
Pace & finishing
8.4
avg fight minutes
33%
go the distance
3
round-1 finish wins
5
finish wins (tracked)
strike targets: head 60% · body 22% · leg 17%
Fight history 12 tracked
DateOpponentResultSig. str.AbsorbedTDKDSub att.
2026-04-05Renato MoicanoUFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. DuncanLSubmission · R227/62210/200
2025-12-07Terrance McKinneyUFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2WSubmission · R138/55311/211
2025-08-03Mateusz RębeckiUFC Fight Night: Taira vs. ParkWDecision - Unanimous · R392/2221140/100
2025-03-22Jordan VucenicUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. BradyWSubmission · R215/40164/511
2024-09-28Bolaji OkiUFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint DenisWSubmission · R110/25280/101
2024-02-25Manuel TorresUFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2LSubmission · R11/231/300
2023-07-22Yanal AshmouzUFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. TyburaWDecision - Unanimous · R385/206352/400
2023-03-18UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3WDecision - Split · R353/83475/1400
2022-08-03Charlie CampbellDana White's Contender Series: Season 6, Week 2WKO/TKO · R115/35160/210
2022-02-05UFL 8: Ultimate Fight LeagueWDecision - Unanimous · R3no stats
2021-10-13Viacheslav BorshchevDana White's Contender Series: Season 5, Week 7LKO/TKO · R236/79412/300
2020-10-01Bellator 247: Jackson vs. KielholtzWKO/TKO · R2no stats

Stats from official box scores over tracked UFC fights; career record covers all promotions. Model receipts show what Probetrics predicted before each fight — graded, not curated. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.