Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Jake Matthews

Jake Matthews

"The Celtic Kid"
23-8 (5 KO · 9 SUB · 9 DEC)
Welterweight · 31 yrs · 5'11" · 73" reach · Orthodox · AUS
submission threat
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Output & defense
per-minute / per-15-min rates over 12 tracked UFC fights
Sig. strikes / min
3.6
Strike accuracy
43%
Absorbed / min
2.4
Strike defense
58%
Knockdowns / 15
0.41
Takedowns / 15
0.8
TD accuracy
50%
TD defense
64%
Sub attempts / 15
0.6
Ground adv. / 15
0.2
Pace & finishing
12.3
avg fight minutes
58%
go the distance
1
round-1 finish wins
3
finish wins (tracked)
strike targets: head 72% · body 19% · leg 8%
Fight history 12 tracked
DateOpponentResultSig. str.AbsorbedTDKDSub att.
2026-05-30Carlston HarrisWDecision - Unanimous · R355/9627010
2025-09-28Neil MagnyLSubmission · R318/44310/103
2025-07-12Chidi NjokuaniWSubmission · R13/751/101
2025-02-09Francisco PradoWDecision - Unanimous · R368/18459000
2024-06-02Phil RoweWDecision - Unanimous · R366/164341/100
2023-11-18Michael MoralesLDecision - Unanimous · R357/149840/100
2023-07-30WSubmission · R260/101360/101
2022-12-17LDecision - Unanimous · R332/89451/201
2022-06-12WKO/TKO · R247/89010
2021-03-06Sean BradyLSubmission · R321/8437000
2020-09-27WDecision - Unanimous · R372/1481/210
2020-02-22WDecision - Unanimous · R333/734/710

Stats from official ESPN box scores over tracked UFC fights; career record covers all promotions. Model receipts show what Probetrics predicted before each fight — graded, not curated. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.