Skip to main content
ProbetricsProbetrics

Tom Nolan

#14
"Big Train"
11-1 (5 KO · 1 SUB · 5 DEC)
Lightweight · 26 yrs · 6'3" · 73" reach · Southpaw · 🇦🇺 AUS
volume strikersubmission threat
Simulate in Fight Lab →
Last 5 fights, newest first
  • WDEC R3
  • WSUB R1
  • WDEC R3
  • WDEC R3
  • WKO R1

Next fight

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan

Sat, Oct 31, 8:00 PM ET · Main event · Lightweight · 5 rounds

Opponent
Renato Moicano
#1221-7-1
Market win chanceno vig
47% Nolan+115 best price
Moicano 53% · from the best US sportsbook prices; the market's view, not ours

Tom Nolan (11-1) is a UFC lightweight fighter from AUS with 5 wins by KO/TKO, 1 by submission and 5 by decision; 12 tracked fights are listed below.

Fight DNAHis striking and grappling rates; the tick on each bar is his division's average. Tap a row for the sample.
rates from box-scored fights
Nolan12 fightsLightweight average
Striking
Grappling

Bars start at zero; a full bar is the top 5% of the division. Tap a row for what it measures and the sample behind it.

Tale of the tapeHeight and reach drawn to scale (reach is the arm span), beside his division's average build.
6'3"73"5'10"72"
Nolan
6'3" tall · 73" reach
Southpaw · 26 yrs
Lightweight avg
5'10" tall · 72" reach
division average
Pace & finishing
8.1
avg fight minutes
42%
go the distance
5
round-1 finish wins
6
finish wins (tracked)
strike targets: head 50% · body 32% · leg 18%
Fight history 12 tracked
DateOpponentResultSig. str.AbsorbedTDKDSub att.
2026-06-07Farés ZiamUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. BonfimWDecision - Unanimous · R331/66162/600
2025-09-28Charlie CampbellUFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. ReyesWSubmission · R126/61151/101
2025-02-09Viacheslav BorshchevUFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2WDecision - Unanimous · R369/175661/803
2024-08-17UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. AdesanyaWDecision - Unanimous · R384/17669001
2024-05-18UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. MurphyWKO/TKO · R133/6418000
2024-01-13Nikolas MottaUFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2LKO/TKO · R112/2021000
2023-08-08Bogdan GradDana White's Contender Series: Season 7, Week 1WKO/TKO · R113/242020
2023-03-18Eternal MMA 74WKO/TKO · R1no stats
2022-12-02Eternal MMA 72WKO/TKO · R2no stats
2022-07-16Eternal MMA 67WKO/TKO · R1no stats
2021-11-20Eternal MMA 63WDecision - Unanimous · R3no stats
2020-12-12XFC 46: State of OriginWDecision - Unanimous · R3no stats

Stats from official box scores over tracked UFC fights; career record covers all promotions. Model receipts show what Probetrics predicted before each fight — graded, not curated. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.