Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Justin Gaethje

Justin Gaethje

"The Highlight"
28-5 (21 KO · 1 SUB · 6 DEC)
Lightweight · 37 yrs · 5'11" · 70" reach · Orthodox · USA
volume strikerknockout powerprecise striker
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Output & defense
per-minute / per-15-min rates over 12 tracked UFC fights
Sig. strikes / min
5.7
Strike accuracy
59%
Absorbed / min
5.9
Strike defense
49%
Knockdowns / 15
0.74
Takedowns / 15
0.4
TD accuracy
29%
TD defense
70%
Sub attempts / 15
0.0
Ground adv. / 15
0.0
Pace & finishing
13.4
avg fight minutes
33%
go the distance
2
round-1 finish wins
5
finish wins (tracked)
strike targets: head 71% · body 11% · leg 18%
Fight history 12 tracked
DateOpponentResultSig. str.AbsorbedTDKDSub att.
2026-06-15Ilia TopuriaWKO/TKO · R491/192970/500
2026-01-25Paddy PimblettWDecision - Unanimous · R5144/2541563/320
2025-03-09Rafael FizievWDecision - Unanimous · R372/134680/310
2024-04-14Max HollowayLKO/TKO · R5103/199181000
2023-07-30Dustin PoirierWKO/TKO · R241/6627010
2023-03-18Rafael FizievWDecision - Majority · R3103/171971/300
2022-05-08Charles OliveiraLSubmission · R121/3330010
2021-11-07Michael ChandlerWDecision - Unanimous · R3116/183103010
2020-10-24LSubmission · R229/4526000
2020-05-10WKO/TKO · R5143/197136000
2019-09-15WKO/TKO · R140/6117010
2019-03-30WKO/TKO · R120/3513010

Stats from official ESPN box scores over tracked UFC fights; career record covers all promotions. Model receipts show what Probetrics predicted before each fight — graded, not curated. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.