Mario Bautista
18-3 (3 KO · 7 SUB · 8 DEC)
Bantamweight · 33 yrs · 5'9" · 69" reach · Switch · USA
wrestlervolume strikersubmission threatdecision grinder
Output & defense
per-minute / per-15-min rates over 12 tracked UFC fights
Sig. strikes / min
5.3
Strike accuracy
52%
Absorbed / min
4.2
Strike defense
53%
Knockdowns / 15
0.24
Takedowns / 15
2.7
TD accuracy
39%
TD defense
54%
Sub attempts / 15
1.2
Ground adv. / 15
0.0
Pace & finishing
10.9
avg fight minutes
58%
go the distance
3
round-1 finish wins
4
finish wins (tracked)
strike targets: head 59% · body 28% · leg 14%
Probetrics vs Bautista's fights 1/1 winners called
2026-07-12 · picked Mario Bautista by DEC✓
Fight history 12 tracked
| Date | Opponent | Result | Sig. str. | Absorbed | TD | KD | Sub att. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Cory Sandhagen | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 114/185 | 89 | 8/20 | 1 | 3 |
| 2026-02-08 | Vinicius Oliveira | WSubmission · R2 | 15/27 | 12 | 5/7 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Umar Nurmagomedov | LDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 20/54 | 32 | 0/1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025-06-08 | Patchy Mix | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 173/302 | 122 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-10-06 | José Aldo | WDecision - Split · R3 | 49/142 | 51 | 0/10 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-01-14 | Ricky Simon | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 112/270 | 45 | 0/3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-08-20 | Da'Mon Blackshear | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 79/137 | 90 | 2/10 | 0 | 1 |
| 2023-03-11 | — | WSubmission · R1 | 3/4 | 2 | 3/4 | 0 | 1 |
| 2022-11-05 | — | WSubmission · R1 | 44/67 | 17 | 1/1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2022-06-25 | — | WSubmission · R1 | 6/17 | 2 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 |
| 2022-02-19 | — | WDecision - Unanimous · R3 | 72/125 | — | 4/6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021-03-06 | — | LKO/TKO · R2 | 21/42 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Stats from official ESPN box scores over tracked UFC fights; career record covers all promotions. Model receipts show what Probetrics predicted before each fight — graded, not curated. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.