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Jets and Chiefs meet on Nov 8, 2026 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (NFL week 9). The sportsbooks give Jets a 23% chance and Chiefs a 77% chance, margin removed. The model's winner call for this game, locked before the start and graded in public, is part of Pro; the model's record is always free.
The sportsbooks' no-vig chance for each side. This is the market's number, free on the data page; it is not the model's call.
The road team is on the left, the home team on the right.
The model rates every team from each game's result and margin, adjusted for the opponent and home field, and counts the starting quarterback. Its winner call is anchored to the betting market's price when there is one, with the model's own rating mixed in, so the call and the market's favorite usually agree. Pro adds the model's own number, its predicted score and margin, the read behind them and where each sits against the market.
Who it picks, and the probability behind it
The model's score for both teams against the market
The matchups behind the call, in plain English
Passing, rushing, quarterback, rest and weather, side by side
A one-tap image of the pick for your group chat
These are the sportsbooks' lines, free. Pro adds the model's call beside them. Its track record is always free: see the record.
Most common margins: 3 (14.5%), 7 (8.6%), 6 (6.7%), 14 (5.1%).
The league’s median total since 2012 is 45.
Where the sportsbooks' numbers sit against how games have finished. Pro adds the model's number on these same charts.
Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
