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Pacers at Grizzlies: NBA, Nov 4, 2026

Game data

Model pick: Grizzlies (66%), locked Nov 4; Pacers won 107–103 (graded a miss).

FinalWed, Nov 4FedExForum · Memphis, TN
Indiana Pacers3-8
107
Memphis Grizzlies7-3
103
Spread
MEM -5.5
(−115) ▼ 1 since open
Total
228.5
▼ 2 since open
IND ML
+185
MEM ML
−225

Closing line · 3 books · best IND +189 DraftKings · MEM −220 FanDuel

The model's call

Locked before tip-off
66%Memphis Grizzlies✗ Miss

Built on the market's no-vig price, with the team ratings only lightly mixed in.

Right at this confidence
63%
Won 29 of 46 called at 60–70%

Winner picks only. Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested. Model reads, not personalized advice. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.