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Raptors at Nuggets: NBA, Nov 4, 2026

Game data

Model pick: Nuggets (64%), locked Nov 4; Nuggets won 128–109 (graded a hit).

FinalWed, Nov 4Ball Arena · Denver, CO
Toronto Raptors5-5
109
Denver Nuggets5-4
128
Spread
DEN -5.5
(−104) ▲ 1 since open
Total
231.5
TOR ML
+165
DEN ML
−200

Closing line · 3 books · best TOR +169 DraftKings · DEN −188 FanDuel

The model's call

Locked before tip-off
64%Denver Nuggets✓ Hit

Built on the market's no-vig price, with the team ratings only lightly mixed in.

Right at this confidence
63%
Won 29 of 46 called at 60–70%

Winner picks only. Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested. Model reads, not personalized advice. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.