Heat at Warriors: NBA, Nov 5, 2026
Game dataModel pick: Warriors (60%), locked Nov 5; Warriors won 120–100 (graded a hit).
FinalThu, Nov 5Chase Center · San Francisco, CA
- Spread
- GSW -3.5
- (−115) ▼ 4 since open
- Total
- 236.5
- ▲ 1 since open
- MIA ML
- +140
- GSW ML
- −167
Closing line · 3 books · best MIA +140 BetMGM · GSW −164 FanDuel
The model's call
Locked before tip-off60%Golden State Warriors✓ Hit
Built on the market's no-vig price, with the team ratings only lightly mixed in.
- Right at this confidence
- 58%
- Won 29 of 50 called at 50–60%
Winner picks only. Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested. Model reads, not personalized advice. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.