RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Last 8 games since Sep 10, 2023
Alan Eck
Accepted penalties
per game, both teams
11.3
≈ in line with the league average (12.5)
Penalty yards
per game, both teams
101.9
≈ in line with the league average (102.7)
Accepted penalties per 100 plays
both teams
9.0
≈ in line with the league average (9.9)
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 122 league games, 8 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Small sample: under 15 games. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playAllegiant Stadium · grassStadium scoring factor 103 (11th of 32, 100 = league average) · 46.8 points a game in 53 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Matchup statsHow the two teams play: each offense against the defense it faces, the three widest gaps marked, every measure ranked (1 = best).
play-by-play and charting · 2023 season only
Offense vs defenseEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces; longer bar = better rank, filled = the side ranking better. The three widest gaps are marked.
2023 season · ranks of 32
ranks betterranks worseStronger6+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 32 (#1 = best)
NYG offensevsLV defense
NYG offense ranks better in 1 of 6 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LV defense in 5 (4 by a clear margin)
Passing · EPA per dropbackExpected points added per dropback; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 18 places
−0.15
#28
−0.03
Stronger#10
Rushing · EPA per rushExpected points added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 20 places
−0.21
#31
−0.11
Stronger#11
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
30%
#30
42%
Stronger#24
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown; the defense's is what it allows.
44%
#31
63%
slight#27
Sacks · protection vs pass rushSacks per dropback: allowed by the offense (fewer is better), created by the defense.Widest gap · 19 places
12.8%
#32
7.1%
Stronger#13
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
1.00
#12Stronger
1.24
#18
LV offensevsNYG defense
LV offense ranks better in 2 of 6 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NYG defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Passing · EPA per dropbackExpected points added per dropback; the defense's number is what it allows.
−0.08
#24
−0.02
Stronger#12
Rushing · EPA per rushExpected points added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.
−0.13
#24slight
−0.01
#29
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
36%
#24
37%
Stronger#10
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown; the defense's is what it allows.
49%
#26
61%
slight#25
Sacks · protection vs pass rushSacks per dropback: allowed by the offense (fewer is better), created by the defense.
6.6%
#19Stronger
5.4%
#30
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
1.41
#20
1.65
Stronger#3
Every measure, ranked
35 measures per pairing+
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 32 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
NYG offenseLV defense
EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: the best single passing-efficiency number. Defense column: what it allows.favors LV
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:NYG scores 54% · allows 54%LV scores 44% · allows 47%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
NYGLVsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
NYG5 games
Scored14.2
Allowed13.4
Pass share39%
37–42% · 147 plays
LV2 games · small sample
Scored10.0
Allowed8.5
Pass share38%
66 plays · too few games for a range
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
NYG7 games
Scored8.3
Allowed9.7
Pass share46%
40–51% · 246 plays
LV7 games
Scored12.4
Allowed14.9
Pass share57%
49–64% · 212 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
NYG5 games
Scored10.4
Allowed11.6
Pass share60%
53–66% · 137 plays
LV8 games
Scored6.0
Allowed12.5
Pass share63%
56–70% · 189 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
NYGat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 5 (of 17)
5.1
5.2Q1
7.2
8.0Q2
12.3scored13.2allowedleague 11.4
1st half
4.6
3.4Q3
6.1
7.5Q4
LVat the half: led 2 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 8 (of 17)
2.5
4.4Q1
4.8
7.1Q2
7.3scored11.5allowedleague 11.4
1st half
2.8
7.3Q3
6.0
5.3Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
NYGLV
6-11
Record
8-9
15.6
Points for / game
19.5
23.9
Points against / game
19.5
4-4 / 2-7
Home / road
6-3 / 2-6
W L L L W
Last 5
W L W W L
2023 season only (not a rolling window) · 17 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
NYGLV
-0.169
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
-0.100
-0.000
EPA / play allowed
-0.061
197
Pass yards / game
216
110
Rush yards / game
91
245
Pass yards allowed
229
132
Rush yards allowed
119
0.9 / 2.2
Turnovers / takeaways
1.2 / 1.6
5.0 / 2.0
Sacks allowed / made
2.4 / 2.7
14.0
First downs / game
15.6
42
Penalty yards / game
37
−9.3 · #47 of 52
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
−2.0 · #32 of 52
2023 season to date · 17 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
NYGLV
12-17-1 · 41%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
5-12 · 29%
Last two seasons (2022–2023), NYG 36 games, LV 34. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
3NYGseriesLV2
Avg total points
40.8
Meetings
5
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (5 of the 15 seasons in our history).
2025NYG 34 at LV 10NYG
2023NYG 6 at LV 30LV
2021LV 16 at NYG 23NYG
2017NYG 17 at LV 24LV
2013LV 20 at NYG 24NYG
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Darius SlaytonWR7916.3%
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR7816.1%
Darren WallerTE7415.3%
Saquon BarkleyRB6012.4%
Jalin HyattWR408.3%
Isaiah HodginsWR336.8%
Daniel BellingerTE285.8%
Parris CampbellWR275.6%
Sterling ShepardWR224.5%
Matt BreidaRB214.3%
Eric GrayRB71.4%
Gary BrightwellRB71.4%
Lawrence CagerTE51.0%
Jashaun CorbinRB30.6%
Davante AdamsWR17533.0%
Jakobi MeyersWR10620.0%
Josh JacobsRB5410.2%
Michael MayerTE407.5%
Hunter RenfrowWR377.0%
Tre TuckerWR346.4%
Austin HooperTE315.8%
Ameer AbdullahRB244.5%
Zamir WhiteRB193.6%
DeAndre CarterWR71.3%
Jakob JohnsonRB20.4%
Cole FotheringhamTE10.2%
Jesper HorstedTE10.2%
New York Giants2024–25 seasons
Las Vegas Raiders2024–25 seasons
