RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Last 30 games since Oct 11, 2020
Brad Allen
Accepted penalties
per game, both teams
10.7
≈ in line with the league average (11.4)
Penalty yards
per game, both teams
92.1
≈ in line with the league average (97.7)
Accepted penalties per 100 plays
both teams
8.4
≈ in line with the league average (9.0)
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = 491 league games, 30 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playFord Field · TurfStadium scoring factor 116 (1st of 32, 100 = league average) · 52.7 points a game in 87 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Matchup statsHow the two teams play: each offense against the defense it faces, the three widest gaps marked, every measure ranked (1 = best).
play-by-play and charting · 2022 season only
Offense vs defenseEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces; longer bar = better rank, filled = the side ranking better. The three widest gaps are marked.
2022 season · ranks of 32
ranks betterranks worseStronger6+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 32 (#1 = best)
PHI offensevsDET defense
PHI offense ranks better in 6 of 6 matchups (5 by a clear margin) · DET defense in 0
Passing · EPA per dropbackExpected points added per dropback; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 23 places
+0.13
#6Stronger
+0.11
#29
Rushing · EPA per rushExpected points added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.Widest gap · 27 places
+0.11
#1Stronger
+0.04
#28
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.Widest gap · 27 places
48%
#3Stronger
46%
#30
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown; the defense's is what it allows.
69%
#3Stronger
64%
#26
Sacks · protection vs pass rushSacks per dropback: allowed by the offense (fewer is better), created by the defense.
6.7%
#17slight
6.1%
#20
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
1.00
#5Stronger
1.24
#17
DET offensevsPHI defense
DET offense ranks better in 3 of 6 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PHI defense in 3
Passing · EPA per dropbackExpected points added per dropback; the defense's number is what it allows.
+0.16
#4
−0.09
slight#1
Rushing · EPA per rushExpected points added per rush; the defense's number is what it allows.
−0.05
#20slight
−0.02
#23
Third-down conversionShare of third downs converted; the defense's is what it allows.
41%
#14
39%
slight#13
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown; the defense's is what it allows.
66%
#4Stronger
56%
#16
Sacks · protection vs pass rushSacks per dropback: allowed by the offense (fewer is better), created by the defense.
3.8%
#3
10.5%
slight#1
Turnovers · giveaways vs takeawaysPer game: the offense's giveaways (fewer is better) and the defense's takeaways.
0.82
#2slight
1.55
#4
Every measure, ranked
35 measures per pairing+
Each measure, offense vs opposing defense, ranked of 32 (1 = best). Favors: big rank gap. ▲▼: recent trend.
PHI offenseDET defense
EPA / dropbackExpected points added per dropback: the best single passing-efficiency number. Defense column: what it allows.favors PHI
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:PHI scores 59% · allows 42%DET scores 50% · allows 42%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
PHIDETsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
PHI9 games
Scored7.6
Allowed10.6
Pass share44%
34–54% · 236 plays
DET7 games
Scored16.6
Allowed18.6
Pass share48%
40–56% · 206 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
PHI6 games
Scored8.0
Allowed12.2
Pass share56%
46–66% · 171 plays
DET8 games
Scored11.5
Allowed14.5
Pass share68%
56–81% · 247 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
PHI2 games · small sample
Scored12.5
Allowed13.0
Pass share71%
63 plays · too few games for a range
DET2 games · small sample
Scored12.0
Allowed8.5
Pass share72%
65 plays · too few games for a range
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
PHIat the half: led 9 · within 3 in 6 · trailed 2 (of 17)
4.4
3.9Q1
7.8
4.2Q2
12.2scored8.1allowedleague 11.4
1st half
3.9
3.1Q3
4.4
8.1Q4
DETat the half: led 7 · within 3 in 8 · trailed 2 (of 17)
4.0
4.7Q1
9.6
6.4Q2
13.6scored11.1allowedleague 11.4
1st half
5.2
7.1Q3
7.6
8.0Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
PHIDET
16-4
Record
9-8
29.1
Points for / game
26.6
19.8
Points against / game
25.1
9-3 / 7-1
Home / road
5-4 / 4-4
L W W W L
Last 5
W W L W W
2022 season only (not a rolling window) · 17–20 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
PHIDET
0.125
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.062
-0.073
EPA / play allowed
0.085
247
Pass yards / game
261
152
Rush yards / game
128
198
Pass yards allowed
262
121
Rush yards allowed
147
0.8 / 1.8
Turnovers / takeaways
0.6 / 1.5
2.4 / 3.9
Sacks allowed / made
1.4 / 2.3
21.1
First downs / game
20.1
39
Penalty yards / game
45
+8.1 · #2 of 52
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+5.1 · #9 of 52
2022 season to date · 17–20 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
PHIDET
3-9 · 25%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
9-19-1 · 32%
Last two seasons (2021–2022), PHI 38 games, DET 34. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
4PHIseriesDET4
Avg total points
51.0
Meetings
8
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (8 of the 15 seasons in our history). PHI have won the last 3.
2025DET 9 at PHI 16PHI
2022PHI 38 at DET 35PHI
2021PHI 44 at DET 6PHI
2019DET 27 at PHI 24DET
2016PHI 23 at DET 24DET
2015PHI 14 at DET 45DET
2013DET 20 at PHI 34PHI
2012DET 26 at PHI 23DET
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
A.J. BrownWR16728.4%
DeVonta SmithWR15826.9%
Dallas GoedertTE8714.8%
Quez WatkinsWR549.2%
Kenny GainwellRB386.5%
Miles SandersRB284.8%
Zach PascalWR233.9%
Jack StollTE152.6%
Grant CalcaterraTE91.5%
Boston ScottRB71.2%
Noah TogiaiTE10.2%
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR14626.0%
D'Andre SwiftRB7012.5%
Kalif RaymondWR6411.4%
Josh ReynoldsWR5910.5%
DJ CharkWR529.3%
T.J. HockensonTE437.7%
Brock WrightTE244.3%
Justin JacksonRB193.4%
Jamaal WilliamsRB162.8%
Tom KennedyWR152.7%
Shane ZylstraTE152.7%
James MitchellTE112.0%
Craig ReynoldsRB101.8%
Jameson WilliamsWR91.6%
Jason CabindaFB40.7%
Quintez CephusWR30.5%
Jared GoffQB10.2%
Maurice AlexanderWR10.2%
Philadelphia Eagles2024–25 seasons
Detroit Lions2024–25 seasons
