RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Brad Allen
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Roof closed · wind, cold and rain are out of playLucas Oil Stadium · TurfStadium scoring factor 104 (7th of 32, 100 = league average) · 47.3 points a game in 84 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
New York Giants · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:NYG scores 54% · allows 54%IND scores 53% · allows 51%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
NYGINDsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
NYG5 games
Scored14.2
Allowed13.4
Pass share39%
37–42% · 147 plays
IND8 games
Scored13.5
Allowed11.4
Pass share47%
40–53% · 201 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
NYG7 games
Scored8.3
Allowed9.7
Pass share46%
40–51% · 246 plays
IND3 games
Scored11.7
Allowed14.3
Pass share44%
26–62% · 88 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
NYG5 games
Scored10.4
Allowed11.6
Pass share60%
53–66% · 137 plays
IND6 games
Scored10.8
Allowed12.8
Pass share63%
55–71% · 174 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
NYGat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 5 (of 17)
5.1
5.2Q1
7.2
8.0Q2
12.3scored13.2allowedleague 11.4
1st half
4.6
3.4Q3
6.1
7.5Q4
INDat the half: led 8 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 6 (of 17)
6.0
5.3Q1
7.9
7.8Q2
13.9scored13.1allowedleague 11.4
1st half
5.9
4.4Q3
5.8
7.5Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
NYGIND
5-11
Record
11-7
23.1
Points for / game
25.9
25.8
Points against / game
21.2
2-6 / 3-5
Home / road
6-2 / 5-5
L L L W W
Last 5
L W W W W
2018 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–18 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
NYGIND
0.023
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.066
0.078
EPA / play allowed
-0.002
275
Pass yards / game
279
103
Rush yards / game
111
264
Pass yards allowed
253
119
Rush yards allowed
106
0.8 / 1.7
Turnovers / takeaways
1.3 / 1.8
2.9 / 1.9
Sacks allowed / made
1.2 / 2.5
17.4
First downs / game
20.6
59
Penalty yards / game
57
+2.2 · #20 of 46
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+5.1 · #12 of 46
2018 season to date · 16–18 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
NYGIND
6-20 · 23%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
5-18 · 22%
Last two seasons (2017–2018), NYG 32 games, IND 34. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
2NYGseriesIND2
Avg total points
61.3
Meetings
4
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (4 of the 15 seasons in our history). NYG have won the last 2.
2024IND 33 at NYG 45NYG
2022IND 10 at NYG 38NYG
2018NYG 27 at IND 28IND
2014IND 40 at NYG 24IND
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Odell Beckham Jr.WR12421.6%
Saquon BarkleyRB12121.1%
Sterling ShepardWR10718.7%
Evan EngramTE6411.2%
Rhett EllisonTE345.9%
Bennie FowlerWR274.7%
Wayne GallmanRB223.8%
Russell ShepardWR193.3%
Cody LatimerWR162.8%
Scott SimonsonTE142.4%
Elijhaa PennyFB91.6%
Corey ColemanWR81.4%
Jawill DavisWR81.4%
T.Y. HiltonWR14120.1%
Eric EbronTE12517.9%
Chester RogersWR8311.9%
Nyheim HinesRB8111.6%
Zach PascalWR527.4%
Ryan GrantWR527.4%
Dontrelle InmanWR476.7%
Jack DoyleTE334.7%
Marlon MackRB294.1%
Jordan WilkinsRB182.6%
Mo Alie-CoxTE142.0%
Erik SwoopeTE101.4%
Marcus JohnsonWR81.1%
Ryan HewittTE30.4%
Robert TurbinRB20.3%
Andrew LuckQB20.3%
New York Giants2024–25 seasons
Indianapolis Colts2024–25 seasons
