RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Walt Coleman
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Roof closed · wind, cold and rain are out of playNRG Stadium · TurfStadium scoring factor 100 (15th of 32, 100 = league average) · 45.7 points a game in 91 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Cleveland Browns · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:CLE scores 59% · allows 49%HOU scores 53% · allows 49%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
CLEHOUsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
CLE6 games
Scored7.3
Allowed8.2
Pass share48%
41–56% · 151 plays
HOU10 games
Scored9.8
Allowed12.3
Pass share45%
39–51% · 278 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
CLE7 games
Scored7.3
Allowed13.7
Pass share58%
47–69% · 209 plays
HOU3 games
Scored16.3
Allowed7.3
Pass share56%
48–65% · 94 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
CLE4 games
Scored7.3
Allowed11.0
Pass share62%
45–79% · 131 plays
HOU4 games
Scored11.3
Allowed8.8
Pass share72%
65–78% · 134 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
CLEat the half: led 6 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 4 (of 17)
4.2
6.2Q1
6.4
4.6Q2
10.6scored10.8allowedleague 11.4
1st half
2.5
5.6Q3
4.8
5.5Q4
HOUat the half: led 10 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 4 (of 17)
4.8
2.8Q1
7.8
7.2Q2
12.6scored10.0allowedleague 11.4
1st half
3.4
5.6Q3
7.9
5.0Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
CLEHOU
7-8-1
Record
11-6
22.4
Points for / game
24.1
24.5
Points against / game
19.8
5-2 / 2-6
Home / road
6-3 / 5-3
L W W W L
Last 5
L W L W L
2018 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–17 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
CLEHOU
-0.011
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.009
0.030
EPA / play allowed
-0.042
266
Pass yards / game
259
118
Rush yards / game
125
273
Pass yards allowed
276
135
Rush yards allowed
90
1.3 / 2.2
Turnovers / takeaways
0.8 / 2.1
2.4 / 2.3
Sacks allowed / made
3.8 / 2.5
17.6
First downs / game
18.6
56
Penalty yards / game
50
+1.7 · #23 of 46
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+3.7 · #15 of 46
2018 season to date · 16–17 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
CLEHOU
4-23-1 · 15%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
4-11 · 27%
Last two seasons (2017–2018), CLE 32 games, HOU 33. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
4CLEseriesHOU4
Avg total points
43.6
Meetings
8
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (7 of the 15 seasons in our history).
2023CLE 14 at HOU 45PlayoffsHOU
2023CLE 36 at HOU 22CLE
2022CLE 27 at HOU 14CLE
2021HOU 21 at CLE 31CLE
2020HOU 7 at CLE 10CLE
2018CLE 13 at HOU 29HOU
2017CLE 17 at HOU 33HOU
2014HOU 23 at CLE 7HOU
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jarvis LandryWR14926.8%
David NjokuTE8815.8%
Antonio CallawayWR7914.2%
Duke JohnsonRB6211.1%
Rashard HigginsWR539.5%
Nick ChubbRB295.2%
Breshad PerrimanWR254.5%
Damion RatleyWR203.6%
Darren FellsTE122.2%
Dontrell HilliardRB101.8%
Carlos HydeRB91.6%
Seth DeValveTE71.3%
Orson CharlesTE50.9%
Derrick WilliesWR50.9%
Josh GordonWR30.5%
Baker MayfieldQB10.2%
DeAndre HopkinsWR17333.7%
Keke CouteeWR5510.7%
Ryan GriffinTE489.3%
Lamar MillerRB458.8%
Will FullerWR458.8%
Demaryius ThomasWR336.4%
Alfred BlueRB295.6%
Jordan AkinsTE285.4%
DeAndre CarterWR234.5%
Bruce EllingtonWR122.3%
Vyncint SmithWR122.3%
Joe WebbQB30.6%
Tyler ErvinRB30.6%
D'Onta ForemanRB30.6%
Sammie CoatesWR20.4%
Cleveland Browns2024–25 seasons
Houston Texans2024–25 seasons
