RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Jerome Boger
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Roof closed · wind, cold and rain are out of playState Farm Stadium · grassStadium scoring factor 104 (8th of 32, 100 = league average) · 47.3 points a game in 82 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Las Vegas Raiders · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
2018 season
Jared Cook · 101 (19.1%)Jordy Nelson · 88 (16.6%)Jalen Richard · 81 (15.3%)Seth Roberts · 64 (12.1%)Amari Cooper · 31 (5.8%)Marcell Ateman · 31 (5.8%)Martavis Bryant · 27 (5.1%)Doug Martin · 24 (4.5%)Marshawn Lynch · 20 (3.8%)Brandon LaFell · 16 (3.0%)Derek Carrier · 12 (2.3%)Lee Smith · 11 (2.1%)Keith Smith · 7 (1.3%)Darren Waller · 6 (1.1%)Dwayne Harris · 6 (1.1%)Keon Hatcher · 2 (0.4%)Johnny Holton · 1 (0.2%)Derek Carr · 1 (0.2%)DeAndre Washington · 1 (0.2%)
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:LV scores 44% · allows 47%ARI scores 51% · allows 50%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
LVARIsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
LV2 games · small sample
Scored10.0
Allowed8.5
Pass share38%
66 plays · too few games for a range
ARI5 games
Scored8.6
Allowed14.2
Pass share54%
43–65% · 152 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
LV7 games
Scored12.4
Allowed14.9
Pass share57%
49–64% · 212 plays
ARI3 games
Scored3.3
Allowed17.0
Pass share67%
64–69% · 66 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
LV8 games
Scored6.0
Allowed12.5
Pass share63%
56–70% · 189 plays
ARI9 games
Scored13.7
Allowed15.7
Pass share73%
67–78% · 308 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
LVat the half: led 2 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 8 (of 17)
2.5
4.4Q1
4.8
7.1Q2
7.3scored11.5allowedleague 11.4
1st half
2.8
7.3Q3
6.0
5.3Q4
ARIat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 9 (of 17)
5.2
7.6Q1
5.6
8.1Q2
10.8scored15.8allowedleague 11.4
1st half
4.9
7.0Q3
5.4
8.3Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
LVARI
4-12
Record
3-13
18.1
Points for / game
14.1
29.2
Points against / game
26.6
3-5 / 1-7
Home / road
1-7 / 2-6
L W L W L
Last 5
L L L L W
2018 season only (not a rolling window) · 16 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
LVARI
-0.054
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
-0.251
0.138
EPA / play allowed
0.028
254
Pass yards / game
180
102
Rush yards / game
84
246
Pass yards allowed
225
141
Rush yards allowed
155
1.1 / 1.2
Turnovers / takeaways
1.3 / 1.3
3.3 / 0.8
Sacks allowed / made
3.3 / 3.1
17.7
First downs / game
13.3
60
Penalty yards / game
49
−0.2 · #28 of 46
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
−11.2 · #45 of 46
2018 season to date · 16 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
LVARI
5-18 · 22%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
7-18 · 28%
Last two seasons (2017–2018), LV 32 games, ARI 32. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
1LVseriesARI2
Avg total points
44.3
Meetings
3
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (3 of the 15 seasons in our history).
2022ARI 29 at LV 23ARI
2018LV 23 at ARI 21LV
2014ARI 24 at LV 13ARI
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jared CookTE10119.1%
Jordy NelsonWR8816.6%
Jalen RichardRB8115.3%
Seth RobertsWR6412.1%
Amari CooperWR315.8%
Marcell AtemanWR315.8%
Martavis BryantWR275.1%
Doug MartinRB244.5%
Marshawn LynchRB203.8%
Brandon LaFellWR163.0%
Derek CarrierTE122.3%
Lee SmithTE112.1%
Keith SmithFB71.3%
Darren WallerTE61.1%
Dwayne HarrisWR61.1%
Keon HatcherWR20.4%
Johnny HoltonWR10.2%
Derek CarrQB10.2%
DeAndre WashingtonRB10.2%
Larry FitzgeraldWR11223.7%
David JohnsonRB7616.1%
Ricky Seals-JonesTE6914.6%
Christian KirkWR6814.4%
Chad WilliamsWR469.7%
Trent SherfieldWR285.9%
Chase EdmondsRB234.9%
J.J. NelsonWR194.0%
Jermaine GreshamTE122.5%
T.J. LoganRB71.5%
Jalen TolliverWR61.3%
Derrick ColemanFB30.6%
John PhillipsTE30.6%
Darrell DanielsTE10.2%
Las Vegas Raiders2024–25 seasons
Arizona Cardinals2024–25 seasons
