RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Ron Torbert
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playMercedes-Benz Superdome · TurfStadium scoring factor 107 (3rd of 32, 100 = league average) · 49 points a game in 88 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Cleveland Browns · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:CLE scores 59% · allows 49%NO scores 39% · allows 61%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
CLENOsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
CLE6 games
Scored7.3
Allowed8.2
Pass share48%
41–56% · 151 plays
NO0 games
None in the last 17.
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
CLE7 games
Scored7.3
Allowed13.7
Pass share58%
47–69% · 209 plays
NO7 games
Scored13.0
Allowed6.4
Pass share49%
38–60% · 224 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
CLE4 games
Scored7.3
Allowed11.0
Pass share62%
45–79% · 131 plays
NO10 games
Scored11.9
Allowed10.6
Pass share66%
61–70% · 337 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
CLEat the half: led 6 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 4 (of 17)
4.2
6.2Q1
6.4
4.6Q2
10.6scored10.8allowedleague 11.4
1st half
2.5
5.6Q3
4.8
5.5Q4
NOat the half: led 0 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 10 (of 17)
2.0
6.4Q1
5.9
7.6Q2
7.9scored14.1allowedleague 11.4
1st half
5.4
4.3Q3
6.6
4.2Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
CLENO
7-8-1
Record
14-4
22.4
Points for / game
30.4
24.5
Points against / game
21.8
5-2 / 2-6
Home / road
7-3 / 7-1
L W W W L
Last 5
L W L W W
2018 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–18 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
CLENO
-0.011
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.126
0.030
EPA / play allowed
0.012
266
Pass yards / game
262
118
Rush yards / game
123
273
Pass yards allowed
285
135
Rush yards allowed
78
1.3 / 2.2
Turnovers / takeaways
0.9 / 1.9
2.4 / 2.3
Sacks allowed / made
1.3 / 2.8
17.6
First downs / game
21.3
56
Penalty yards / game
58
−7.3 · #42 of 46
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+10.3 · #2 of 46
2018 season to date · 16–18 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
CLENO
4-23-1 · 15%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
4-5 · 44%
Last two seasons (2017–2018), CLE 32 games, NO 36. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
1CLEseriesNO3
Avg total points
41.3
Meetings
4
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (4 of the 15 seasons in our history). NO have won the last 3.
2024CLE 14 at NO 35NO
2022NO 17 at CLE 10NO
2018CLE 18 at NO 21NO
2014NO 24 at CLE 26CLE
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jarvis LandryWR14926.8%
David NjokuTE8815.8%
Antonio CallawayWR7914.2%
Duke JohnsonRB6211.1%
Rashard HigginsWR539.5%
Nick ChubbRB295.2%
Breshad PerrimanWR254.5%
Damion RatleyWR203.6%
Darren FellsTE122.2%
Dontrell HilliardRB101.8%
Carlos HydeRB91.6%
Seth DeValveTE71.3%
Orson CharlesTE50.9%
Derrick WilliesWR50.9%
Josh GordonWR30.5%
Baker MayfieldQB10.2%
Michael ThomasWR17029.0%
Alvin KamaraRB12220.8%
Tre'Quan SmithWR488.2%
Benjamin WatsonTE478.0%
Ted GinnWR437.3%
Mark IngramRB315.3%
Josh HillTE284.8%
Keith KirkwoodWR233.9%
Dan ArnoldTE213.6%
Austin CarrWR152.6%
Cameron MeredithWR101.7%
Zach LineFB101.7%
Taysom HillTE91.5%
Tommylee LewisWR40.7%
Garrett GriffinTE20.3%
Drew BreesQB10.2%
Mike GillisleeRB10.2%
Jonathan WilliamsRB10.2%
Cleveland Browns2024–25 seasons
New Orleans Saints2024–25 seasons
