RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Walt Anderson
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playGeorgia Dome · TurfStadium scoring factor 102 (12th of 32, 100 = league average) · 46.6 points a game in 74 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Green Bay Packers · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:GB scores 48% · allows 43%ATL scores 58% · allows 46%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
GBATLsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
GB5 games
Scored9.2
Allowed19.4
Pass share50%
31–70% · 157 plays
ATL6 games
Scored10.3
Allowed13.0
Pass share37%
25–49% · 143 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
GB7 games
Scored10.3
Allowed10.4
Pass share60%
54–65% · 196 plays
ATL5 games
Scored12.4
Allowed13.2
Pass share53%
42–65% · 167 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
GB5 games
Scored13.8
Allowed10.8
Pass share57%
38–75% · 161 plays
ATL6 games
Scored5.3
Allowed12.7
Pass share58%
47–68% · 177 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
GBat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 5 (of 17)
2.9
2.3Q1
7.2
7.7Q2
10.2scored10.0allowedleague 11.4
1st half
5.5
4.5Q3
5.3
8.3Q4
ATLat the half: led 6 · within 3 in 5 · trailed 6 (of 17)
5.1
5.1Q1
7.7
5.9Q2
12.8scored11.0allowedleague 11.4
1st half
2.9
5.4Q3
6.3
7.1Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
GBATL
12-7
Record
13-6
27.6
Points for / game
34.1
25.1
Points against / game
25.3
7-2 / 5-5
Home / road
7-4 / 6-2
L W W W W
Last 5
L W W W W
2016 season only (not a rolling window) · 19 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
GBATL
0.120
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.183
0.064
EPA / play allowed
0.044
287
Pass yards / game
314
103
Rush yards / game
117
295
Pass yards allowed
288
96
Rush yards allowed
104
0.9 / 1.5
Turnovers / takeaways
0.5 / 1.8
2.4 / 2.3
Sacks allowed / made
2.4 / 2.3
20.1
First downs / game
21.9
49
Penalty yards / game
50
+10.0 · #3 of 42
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+11.1 · #1 of 42
2016 season to date · 19 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
GBATL
4-5 · 44%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
9-5 · 64%
Last two seasons (2015–2016), GB 37 games, ATL 35. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
4GBseriesATL5
Avg total points
56.4
Meetings
9
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (8 of the 15 seasons in our history). ATL have won the last 2.
2026ATL 35 at GB 14ATL
2023GB 24 at ATL 25ATL
2020ATL 16 at GB 30GB
2018ATL 20 at GB 34GB
2017GB 23 at ATL 34ATL
2016GB 21 at ATL 44PlayoffsATL
2016GB 32 at ATL 33ATL
2014ATL 37 at GB 43GB
All 9 meetings
2013ATL 21 at GB 22GB
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jordy NelsonWR16422.2%
Davante AdamsWR14619.8%
Randall CobbWR10814.6%
Jared CookTE8311.2%
Ty MontgomeryWR709.5%
Richard RodgersTE496.6%
Geronimo AllisonWR304.1%
James StarksRB253.4%
Jeff JanisWR202.7%
Aaron RipkowskiFB152.0%
Trevor DavisWR70.9%
Eddie LacyRB70.9%
Justin PerilloTE50.7%
Christine MichaelRB50.7%
Jared AbbrederisWR20.3%
Knile DavisRB20.3%
Don JacksonRB10.1%
Julio JonesWR15324.4%
Mohamed SanuWR9515.2%
Devonta FreemanRB7712.3%
Taylor GabrielWR6410.2%
Tevin ColemanRB487.7%
Aldrick RobinsonWR365.8%
Austin HooperTE365.8%
Justin HardyWR335.3%
Jacob TammeTE315.0%
Levine ToiloloTE254.0%
Patrick DiMarcoRB142.2%
Nick WilliamsWR71.1%
Josh PerkinsTE50.8%
Terron WardRB20.3%
Green Bay Packers2024–25 seasons
Atlanta Falcons2024–25 seasons
