RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Brad Allen
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playU.S. Bank Stadium · TurfStadium scoring factor 98 (21th of 32, 100 = league average) · 44.8 points a game in 85 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
New York Giants · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:NYG scores 54% · allows 54%MIN scores 48% · allows 55%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
NYGMINsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
NYG5 games
Scored14.2
Allowed13.4
Pass share39%
37–42% · 147 plays
MIN4 games
Scored8.0
Allowed4.8
Pass share51%
43–60% · 113 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
NYG7 games
Scored8.3
Allowed9.7
Pass share46%
40–51% · 246 plays
MIN7 games
Scored10.3
Allowed7.1
Pass share49%
36–62% · 191 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
NYG5 games
Scored10.4
Allowed11.6
Pass share60%
53–66% · 137 plays
MIN6 games
Scored11.0
Allowed11.3
Pass share60%
52–68% · 139 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
NYGat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 5 (of 17)
5.1
5.2Q1
7.2
8.0Q2
12.3scored13.2allowedleague 11.4
1st half
4.6
3.4Q3
6.1
7.5Q4
MINat the half: led 4 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 6 (of 17)
4.9
3.8Q1
4.4
6.1Q2
9.3scored9.8allowedleague 11.4
1st half
3.9
4.2Q3
6.1
3.9Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
NYGMIN
11-6
Record
8-8
19.0
Points for / game
20.4
18.9
Points against / game
19.2
7-1 / 4-5
Home / road
5-3 / 3-5
L W L W W
Last 5
W L L W L
2016 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–17 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
NYGMIN
-0.070
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
-0.057
-0.082
EPA / play allowed
-0.114
254
Pass yards / game
257
87
Rush yards / game
75
272
Pass yards allowed
227
88
Rush yards allowed
107
1.3 / 1.9
Turnovers / takeaways
0.4 / 1.7
1.4 / 2.4
Sacks allowed / made
2.4 / 2.6
16.4
First downs / game
17.2
53
Penalty yards / game
55
−1.4 · #30 of 42
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+1.3 · #23 of 42
2016 season to date · 16–17 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
NYGMIN
5-12 · 29%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
6-9 · 40%
Last two seasons (2015–2016), NYG 33 games, MIN 33. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
2NYGseriesMIN6
Avg total points
42.1
Meetings
8
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (7 of the 15 seasons in our history). MIN have won the last 2.
2025MIN 16 at NYG 13MIN
2024MIN 28 at NYG 6MIN
2022NYG 31 at MIN 24PlayoffsNYG
2022NYG 24 at MIN 27MIN
2019MIN 28 at NYG 10MIN
2016NYG 10 at MIN 24MIN
2015NYG 17 at MIN 49MIN
2013MIN 7 at NYG 23NYG
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Odell Beckham Jr.WR18028.1%
Sterling ShepardWR11417.8%
Will TyeTE7712.0%
Victor CruzWR7611.9%
Rashad JenningsRB436.7%
Paul PerkinsRB294.5%
Bobby RaineyRB264.1%
Larry DonnellTE223.4%
Jerell AdamsTE213.3%
Shane VereenRB193.0%
Roger LewisWR193.0%
Tavarres KingWR101.6%
Orleans DarkwaRB40.6%
Dwayne HarrisWR10.2%
Kyle RudolphTE13222.6%
Stefon DiggsWR11219.1%
Adam ThielenWR9215.7%
Cordarrelle PattersonRB7012.0%
Jerick McKinnonRB539.1%
Matt AsiataRB386.5%
Charles D. JohnsonWR376.3%
Rhett EllisonTE142.4%
Jarius WrightWR142.4%
Ronnie HillmanRB71.2%
Adrian PetersonRB61.0%
Laquon TreadwellWR30.5%
Zach LineFB30.5%
Sam BradfordQB10.2%
MyCole PruittTE10.2%
David MorganTE10.2%
Isaac FruechteWR10.2%
New York Giants2024–25 seasons
Minnesota Vikings2024–25 seasons
