RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Clete Blakeman
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Roof closed · wind, cold and rain are out of playUniversity of Phoenix Stadium · grassStadium scoring factor 104 (8th of 32, 100 = league average) · 47.3 points a game in 82 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Green Bay Packers · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:GB scores 48% · allows 43%ARI scores 51% · allows 50%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
GBARIsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
GB5 games
Scored9.2
Allowed19.4
Pass share50%
31–70% · 157 plays
ARI5 games
Scored8.6
Allowed14.2
Pass share54%
43–65% · 152 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
GB7 games
Scored10.3
Allowed10.4
Pass share60%
54–65% · 196 plays
ARI3 games
Scored3.3
Allowed17.0
Pass share67%
64–69% · 66 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
GB5 games
Scored13.8
Allowed10.8
Pass share57%
38–75% · 161 plays
ARI9 games
Scored13.7
Allowed15.7
Pass share73%
67–78% · 308 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
GBat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 5 (of 17)
2.9
2.3Q1
7.2
7.7Q2
10.2scored10.0allowedleague 11.4
1st half
5.5
4.5Q3
5.3
8.3Q4
ARIat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 9 (of 17)
5.2
7.6Q1
5.6
8.1Q2
10.8scored15.8allowedleague 11.4
1st half
4.9
7.0Q3
5.4
8.3Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
GBARI
11-7
Record
14-4
23.5
Points for / game
29.4
20.4
Points against / game
21.2
5-3 / 6-4
Home / road
7-2 / 7-2
L W L L W
Last 5
L W L W W
2015 season only (not a rolling window) · 18 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
GBARI
-0.016
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.084
-0.047
EPA / play allowed
-0.079
239
Pass yards / game
298
118
Rush yards / game
112
254
Pass yards allowed
253
113
Rush yards allowed
97
0.8 / 1.8
Turnovers / takeaways
1.4 / 2.4
2.7 / 2.9
Sacks allowed / made
1.8 / 2.1
17.3
First downs / game
20.3
55
Penalty yards / game
46
+1.2 · #21 of 47
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+7.9 · #2 of 47
2015 season to date · 18 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
GBARI
1-6 · 14%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
7-6 · 54%
Last two seasons (2014–2015), GB 36 games, ARI 35. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
4GBseriesARI3
Avg total points
45.6
Meetings
7
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (6 of the 15 seasons in our history). GB have won the last 3.
2025GB 27 at ARI 23GB
2024ARI 13 at GB 34GB
2021GB 24 at ARI 21GB
2018ARI 20 at GB 17ARI
2015GB 20 at ARI 26PlayoffsARI
2015GB 8 at ARI 38ARI
2012ARI 17 at GB 31GB
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Randall CobbWR13821.5%
James JonesWR11217.5%
Davante AdamsWR9815.3%
Richard RodgersTE9715.1%
James StarksRB599.2%
Jared AbbrederisWR325.0%
Eddie LacyRB304.7%
Jeff JanisWR233.6%
Ty MontgomeryWR193.0%
John KuhnFB132.0%
Justin PerilloTE132.0%
Andrew QuarlessTE50.8%
Aaron RipkowskiFB10.2%
Alonzo HarrisRB10.2%
Larry FitzgeraldWR16426.0%
John BrownWR11818.7%
Michael FloydWR10416.5%
David JohnsonRB7511.9%
Darren FellsTE345.4%
Jermaine GreshamTE325.1%
J.J. NelsonWR314.9%
Andre EllingtonRB264.1%
Jaron BrownWR243.8%
Chris JohnsonRB132.1%
Troy NiklasTE40.6%
Stepfan TaylorRB30.5%
Kerwynn WilliamsRB20.3%
Brittan GoldenWR10.2%
Green Bay Packers2024–25 seasons
Arizona Cardinals2024–25 seasons
