RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Jeff Triplette
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playEdward Jones Dome · TurfStadium scoring factor 97 (25th of 32, 100 = league average) · 44.1 points a game in 53 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Chicago Bears · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:CHI scores 39% · allows 53%LAR scores 52% · allows 49%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
CHILARsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
CHI5 games
Scored15.6
Allowed10.2
Pass share37%
32–41% · 172 plays
LAR10 games
Scored14.2
Allowed12.8
Pass share50%
42–58% · 318 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
CHI5 games
Scored14.2
Allowed9.0
Pass share48%
42–54% · 182 plays
LAR3 games
Scored9.0
Allowed13.7
Pass share54%
42–67% · 111 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
CHI7 games
Scored17.9
Allowed11.0
Pass share64%
60–69% · 257 plays
LAR4 games
Scored19.0
Allowed7.5
Pass share64%
53–75% · 135 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
CHIat the half: led 5 · within 3 in 5 · trailed 7 (of 17)
6.4
3.6Q1
3.9
8.1Q2
10.3scored11.7allowedleague 11.4
1st half
6.2
3.7Q3
9.6
6.3Q4
LARat the half: led 10 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 4 (of 17)
7.0
4.1Q1
8.5
7.2Q2
15.5scored11.3allowedleague 11.4
1st half
6.1
4.9Q3
7.8
6.3Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
CHILAR
6-10
Record
7-9
20.9
Points for / game
17.5
24.8
Points against / game
20.6
1-7 / 5-3
Home / road
5-3 / 2-6
L W L L L
Last 5
L W W W L
2015 season only (not a rolling window) · 16 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
CHILAR
-0.022
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
-0.155
0.048
EPA / play allowed
-0.064
240
Pass yards / game
183
116
Rush yards / game
122
239
Pass yards allowed
269
121
Rush yards allowed
114
0.9 / 0.9
Turnovers / takeaways
1.1 / 2.1
2.1 / 2.2
Sacks allowed / made
1.1 / 2.6
17.8
First downs / game
13.6
57
Penalty yards / game
63
+2.0 · #18 of 47
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
−8.7 · #44 of 47
2015 season to date · 16 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
CHILAR
9-17 · 35%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
8-12 · 40%
Last two seasons (2014–2015), CHI 32 games, LAR 32. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
4CHIseriesLAR5
Avg total points
38.7
Meetings
9
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (9 of the 15 seasons in our history).
2025LAR 20 at CHI 17PlayoffsLAR
2024LAR 18 at CHI 24CHI
2021CHI 14 at LAR 34LAR
2020CHI 10 at LAR 24LAR
2019CHI 7 at LAR 17LAR
2018LAR 6 at CHI 15CHI
2015CHI 37 at LAR 13CHI
2013CHI 21 at LAR 42LAR
All 9 meetings
2012LAR 6 at CHI 23CHI
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Alshon JefferyWR9418.1%
Martellus BennettTE8015.4%
Matt ForteRB5811.2%
Marquess WilsonWR519.8%
Eddie RoyalWR509.6%
Zach MillerTE468.9%
Jeremy LangfordRB428.1%
Josh BellamyWR346.6%
Marc MarianiWR336.4%
Cameron MeredithWR163.1%
Ka'Deem CareyRB30.6%
Rob HouslerTE30.6%
Deonte ThompsonWR30.6%
Khari LeeTE30.6%
Jacquizz RodgersRB30.6%
Tavon AustinWR8718.7%
Jared CookTE7516.1%
Kenny BrittWR7215.5%
Lance KendricksTE408.6%
Benny CunninghamRB367.7%
Brian QuickWR326.9%
Todd GurleyRB265.6%
Stedman BaileyWR255.4%
Wes WelkerWR224.7%
Bradley MarquezWR224.7%
Tre MasonRB214.5%
Cory HarkeyTE61.3%
Malcolm BrownRB10.2%
Chris GivensWR10.2%
Chicago Bears2024–25 seasons
Los Angeles Rams2024–25 seasons
