RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
John Hussey
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playEdward Jones Dome · TurfStadium scoring factor 97 (25th of 32, 100 = league average) · 44.1 points a game in 53 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Pittsburgh Steelers · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
2015 season
Antonio Brown · 205 (31.3%)Martavis Bryant · 113 (17.3%)Markus Wheaton · 92 (14.0%)Heath Miller · 87 (13.3%)DeAngelo Williams · 47 (7.2%)Darrius Heyward-Bey · 43 (6.6%)Le'Veon Bell · 26 (4.0%)Jesse James · 12 (1.8%)Fitzgerald Toussaint · 11 (1.7%)Sammie Coates · 5 (0.8%)Matt Spaeth · 4 (0.6%)Will Johnson · 4 (0.6%)Roosevelt Nix · 3 (0.5%)Jordan Todman · 2 (0.3%)Tyler Murphy · 1 (0.2%)
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:PIT scores 49% · allows 44%LAR scores 52% · allows 49%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
PITLARsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
PIT8 games
Scored11.0
Allowed14.4
Pass share57%
50–65% · 213 plays
LAR10 games
Scored14.2
Allowed12.8
Pass share50%
42–58% · 318 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
PIT3 games
Scored10.7
Allowed15.7
Pass share52%
42–63% · 94 plays
LAR3 games
Scored9.0
Allowed13.7
Pass share54%
42–67% · 111 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
PIT6 games
Scored10.8
Allowed10.3
Pass share66%
62–70% · 172 plays
LAR4 games
Scored19.0
Allowed7.5
Pass share64%
53–75% · 135 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
PITat the half: led 8 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 6 (of 17)
3.8
4.1Q1
6.6
6.1Q2
10.4scored10.2allowedleague 11.4
1st half
3.9
3.8Q3
7.0
9.4Q4
LARat the half: led 10 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 4 (of 17)
7.0
4.1Q1
8.5
7.2Q2
15.5scored11.3allowedleague 11.4
1st half
6.1
4.9Q3
7.8
6.3Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
PITLAR
11-7
Record
7-9
25.4
Points for / game
17.5
19.9
Points against / game
20.6
6-2 / 5-5
Home / road
5-3 / 2-6
L W W L W
Last 5
L W W W L
2015 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–18 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
PITLAR
0.038
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
-0.155
-0.052
EPA / play allowed
-0.064
300
Pass yards / game
183
110
Rush yards / game
122
283
Pass yards allowed
269
92
Rush yards allowed
114
1.5 / 2.1
Turnovers / takeaways
1.1 / 2.1
2.2 / 2.8
Sacks allowed / made
1.1 / 2.6
18.2
First downs / game
13.6
58
Penalty yards / game
63
+6.9 · #5 of 47
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
−8.7 · #44 of 47
2015 season to date · 16–18 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
PITLAR
7-7 · 50%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
8-12 · 40%
Last two seasons (2014–2015), PIT 35 games, LAR 32. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
3PITseriesLAR0
Avg total points
29.3
Meetings
3
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (3 of the 15 seasons in our history). PIT have won the last 3.
2023PIT 24 at LAR 17PIT
2019LAR 12 at PIT 17PIT
2015PIT 12 at LAR 6PIT
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Antonio BrownWR20531.3%
Martavis BryantWR11317.3%
Markus WheatonWR9214.0%
Heath MillerTE8713.3%
DeAngelo WilliamsRB477.2%
Darrius Heyward-BeyWR436.6%
Le'Veon BellRB264.0%
Jesse JamesTE121.8%
Fitzgerald ToussaintRB111.7%
Sammie CoatesWR50.8%
Matt SpaethTE40.6%
Will JohnsonRB40.6%
Roosevelt NixFB30.5%
Jordan TodmanRB20.3%
Tyler MurphyWR10.2%
Tavon AustinWR8718.7%
Jared CookTE7516.1%
Kenny BrittWR7215.5%
Lance KendricksTE408.6%
Benny CunninghamRB367.7%
Brian QuickWR326.9%
Todd GurleyRB265.6%
Stedman BaileyWR255.4%
Wes WelkerWR224.7%
Bradley MarquezWR224.7%
Tre MasonRB214.5%
Cory HarkeyTE61.3%
Malcolm BrownRB10.2%
Chris GivensWR10.2%
Pittsburgh Steelers2024–25 seasons
Los Angeles Rams2024–25 seasons
