RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Ed Hochuli
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Roof closed · wind, cold and rain are out of playLucas Oil Stadium · TurfStadium scoring factor 104 (7th of 32, 100 = league average) · 47.3 points a game in 84 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Jacksonville Jaguars · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:JAX scores 53% · allows 44%IND scores 53% · allows 51%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
JAXINDsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
JAX11 games
Scored12.0
Allowed9.0
Pass share39%
35–44% · 307 plays
IND8 games
Scored13.5
Allowed11.4
Pass share47%
40–53% · 201 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
JAX3 games
Scored20.0
Allowed15.7
Pass share45%
34–57% · 110 plays
IND3 games
Scored11.7
Allowed14.3
Pass share44%
26–62% · 88 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
JAX3 games
Scored10.0
Allowed10.3
Pass share69%
56–81% · 105 plays
IND6 games
Scored10.8
Allowed12.8
Pass share63%
55–71% · 174 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
JAXat the half: led 11 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 3 (of 17)
6.0
3.2Q1
8.9
5.0Q2
14.9scored8.2allowedleague 11.4
1st half
6.1
2.7Q3
6.4
7.4Q4
INDat the half: led 8 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 6 (of 17)
6.0
5.3Q1
7.9
7.8Q2
13.9scored13.1allowedleague 11.4
1st half
5.9
4.4Q3
5.8
7.5Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
JAXIND
3-13
Record
13-6
15.6
Points for / game
27.1
25.8
Points against / game
23.0
3-5 / 0-8
Home / road
7-2 / 6-4
L W L L W
Last 5
L W W W L
2014 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–19 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
JAXIND
-0.177
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.012
0.008
EPA / play allowed
-0.037
216
Pass yards / game
307
102
Rush yards / game
100
261
Pass yards allowed
238
127
Rush yards allowed
115
1.5 / 1.6
Turnovers / takeaways
1.6 / 1.9
4.4 / 2.8
Sacks allowed / made
1.6 / 2.4
15.0
First downs / game
20.3
36
Penalty yards / game
53
−7.1 · #42 of 45
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+4.6 · #12 of 45
2014 season to date · 16–19 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
JAXIND
6-25 · 19%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
6-6 · 50%
Last two seasons (2013–2014), JAX 32 games, IND 37. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
15JAXseriesIND13
Avg total points
44.5
Meetings
28
Division rivals — they meet twice every season. JAX have won the last 2.
2025JAX 23 at IND 17JAX
2025IND 19 at JAX 36JAX
2024JAX 23 at IND 26IND
2024IND 34 at JAX 37JAX
2023IND 20 at JAX 37JAX
2023JAX 31 at IND 21JAX
2022JAX 27 at IND 34IND
2022IND 0 at JAX 24JAX
All 28 meetings
2021IND 11 at JAX 26JAX
2021JAX 17 at IND 23IND
2020JAX 14 at IND 28IND
2020IND 20 at JAX 27JAX
2019IND 20 at JAX 38JAX
2019JAX 13 at IND 33IND
2018IND 0 at JAX 6JAX
2018JAX 26 at IND 29IND
2017IND 10 at JAX 30JAX
2017JAX 27 at IND 0JAX
2016JAX 20 at IND 24IND
2016IND 27 vs JAX 30JAX
2015IND 16 at JAX 51JAX
2015JAX 13 at IND 16IND
2014JAX 3 at IND 23IND
2014IND 44 at JAX 17IND
2013JAX 10 at IND 30IND
2013IND 37 at JAX 3IND
2012IND 27 at JAX 10IND
2012JAX 22 at IND 17JAX
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Cecil ShortsWR11019.9%
Allen HurnsWR9717.5%
Allen RobinsonWR8114.6%
Marqise LeeWR6812.3%
Jordan TodmanRB376.7%
Clay HarborTE356.3%
Denard RobinsonRB315.6%
Marcedes LewisTE315.6%
Toby GerhartRB244.3%
Mike BrownWR152.7%
Will Ta'ufo'ouFB81.4%
Ace SandersWR71.3%
Mickey ShulerTE30.5%
Nic JacobsTE30.5%
Tommy StreeterWR10.2%
Marcel JensenTE10.2%
Storm JohnsonRB10.2%
T.Y. HiltonWR15920.9%
Reggie WayneWR12115.9%
Coby FleenerTE10413.6%
Hakeem NicksWR7610.0%
Dwayne AllenTE638.3%
Donte MoncriefWR618.0%
Dan HerronRB496.4%
Ahmad BradshawRB476.2%
Trent RichardsonRB344.5%
Jack DoyleTE314.1%
Zurlon TiptonRB131.7%
Griff WhalenWR30.4%
Josh CribbsWR10.1%
Jacksonville Jaguars2024–25 seasons
Indianapolis Colts2024–25 seasons
