RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Brad Allen
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Indoors · wind, cold and rain are out of playGeorgia Dome · TurfStadium scoring factor 102 (12th of 32, 100 = league average) · 46.6 points a game in 74 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Cleveland Browns · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
2014 season
Andrew Hawkins · 112 (22.4%)Miles Austin · 72 (14.4%)Taylor Gabriel · 72 (14.4%)Jordan Cameron · 48 (9.6%)Josh Gordon · 47 (9.4%)Travis Benjamin · 46 (9.2%)Jim Dray · 27 (5.4%)Gary Barnidge · 25 (5.0%)Isaiah Crowell · 14 (2.8%)Terrance West · 13 (2.6%)Ben Tate · 12 (2.4%)Ray Agnew · 9 (1.8%)Brian Hoyer · 1 (0.2%)Rodney Smith · 1 (0.2%)
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:CLE scores 59% · allows 49%ATL scores 58% · allows 46%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
CLEATLsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
CLE6 games
Scored7.3
Allowed8.2
Pass share48%
41–56% · 151 plays
ATL6 games
Scored10.3
Allowed13.0
Pass share37%
25–49% · 143 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
CLE7 games
Scored7.3
Allowed13.7
Pass share58%
47–69% · 209 plays
ATL5 games
Scored12.4
Allowed13.2
Pass share53%
42–65% · 167 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
CLE4 games
Scored7.3
Allowed11.0
Pass share62%
45–79% · 131 plays
ATL6 games
Scored5.3
Allowed12.7
Pass share58%
47–68% · 177 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
CLEat the half: led 6 · within 3 in 7 · trailed 4 (of 17)
4.2
6.2Q1
6.4
4.6Q2
10.6scored10.8allowedleague 11.4
1st half
2.5
5.6Q3
4.8
5.5Q4
ATLat the half: led 6 · within 3 in 5 · trailed 6 (of 17)
5.1
5.1Q1
7.7
5.9Q2
12.8scored11.0allowedleague 11.4
1st half
2.9
5.4Q3
6.3
7.1Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
CLEATL
7-9
Record
6-10
18.7
Points for / game
23.8
21.1
Points against / game
26.1
4-4 / 3-5
Home / road
3-5 / 3-5
L L L L L
Last 5
L W L L W
2014 season only (not a rolling window) · 16 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
CLEATL
-0.080
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.026
-0.061
EPA / play allowed
0.090
230
Pass yards / game
297
108
Rush yards / game
94
236
Pass yards allowed
289
142
Rush yards allowed
118
1.3 / 2.3
Turnovers / takeaways
1.3 / 1.8
1.9 / 1.9
Sacks allowed / made
1.9 / 1.4
16.7
First downs / game
19.3
58
Penalty yards / game
53
−0.9 · #29 of 45
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+4.6 · #11 of 45
2014 season to date · 16 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
CLEATL
6-14 · 30%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
4-16 · 20%
Last two seasons (2013–2014), CLE 32 games, ATL 32. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
2CLEseriesATL1
Avg total points
45.7
Meetings
3
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (3 of the 15 seasons in our history).
2022CLE 20 at ATL 23ATL
2018ATL 16 at CLE 28CLE
2014CLE 26 at ATL 24CLE
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Andrew HawkinsWR11222.4%
Miles AustinWR7214.4%
Taylor GabrielWR7214.4%
Jordan CameronTE489.6%
Josh GordonWR479.4%
Travis BenjaminWR469.2%
Jim DrayTE275.4%
Gary BarnidgeTE255.0%
Isaiah CrowellRB142.8%
Terrance WestRB132.6%
Ben TateRB122.4%
Ray AgnewRB91.8%
Brian HoyerQB10.2%
Rodney SmithWR10.2%
Julio JonesWR16326.2%
Roddy WhiteWR12520.1%
Harry DouglasWR7411.9%
Devin HesterWR599.5%
Levine ToiloloTE538.5%
Jacquizz RodgersRB406.4%
Devonta FreemanRB375.9%
Steven JacksonRB274.3%
Antone SmithRB152.4%
Patrick DiMarcoRB142.2%
Eric WeemsWR111.8%
Courtney RobyWR20.3%
Bear PascoeTE20.3%
Freddie MartinoWR10.2%
Cleveland Browns2024–25 seasons
Atlanta Falcons2024–25 seasons
