RefereeCounts per game across this official's recent games, next to the league's over the same dates. History; not a forecast.◷History
Terry McAulay
Too few earlier games on record to compare with the league.
Bar: 90% range of the average; dot = the average, line = the league's over the same dates (n = — league games, 0 worked). Above, below or in line is a statistical call: whether the 90% range sits clear of the league's number, not a percentage cutoff. Counts from games this official worked, which also reflect the teams and conditions of those games; who officiates is one of many things that shape a game.
Field and weather
Roof closed · wind, cold and rain are out of playLucas Oil Stadium · TurfStadium scoring factor 104 (7th of 32, 100 = league average) · 47.3 points a game in 84 games hereIndoor games league-wide: 47.8 points vs 45.2 in mild outdoor games
Los Angeles Rams · target and rush shareHow the team's targets and carries are shared this season; red zone = inside the opponent's 20.
Designed runs over each team's last 17 games (scrambles and kneel-downs left out), by the hole play-by-play charts, named from the offense's side: a defense's “left end” is what offenses did running at its right side. Small numbers under each value are its carries. Success = the carry added expected points; ranges are about 90%. Rings mark 2, 4, 6, 8 yards. QB sneaks count as middle runs. Under 10 carries is faint. History, not a forecast.
Scoring by quarter and halfPoints scored (solid) and allowed (striped) per quarter and half over the last 17 games; tick = league average.◷History
Points in the 1st half:LAR scores 52% · allows 49%IND scores 53% · allows 51%league 50%
Game script: the second halfSecond-half points and pass share after leading by 4+, being within 3, or trailing by 4+ at the break.◷History
Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
LARINDsolid = scored · striped = allowedleague in the same spotband = about 90% range
Led at half
by 4+
League 11.7 scored
League 45% pass
LAR10 games
Scored14.2
Allowed12.8
Pass share50%
42–58% · 318 plays
IND8 games
Scored13.5
Allowed11.4
Pass share47%
40–53% · 201 plays
Close at half
tied or within 3
League 11.3 scored
League 53% pass
LAR3 games
Scored9.0
Allowed13.7
Pass share54%
42–67% · 111 plays
IND3 games
Scored11.7
Allowed14.3
Pass share44%
26–62% · 88 plays
Trailed at half
by 4+
League 11.3 scored
League 63% pass
LAR4 games
Scored19.0
Allowed7.5
Pass share64%
53–75% · 135 plays
IND6 games
Scored10.8
Allowed12.8
Pass share63%
55–71% · 174 plays
Second half = third quarter, fourth quarter and overtime, per game. Pass share = pass attempts over attempts plus carries in the second half (sacks left out; scrambles and kneel-downs count as carries). The range counts games, not plays. League = every NFL team's last 17 games (32 teams). History, and it follows the score: not a forecast of this game.
Quarter tempoPoints scored (up) and allowed (down) per game in each quarter, last 17 games; ticks mark the league average.◷History
per game · Last 17 games · 4 in 2026, 13 in 2025
LARat the half: led 10 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 4 (of 17)
7.0
4.1Q1
8.5
7.2Q2
15.5scored11.3allowedleague 11.4
1st half
6.1
4.9Q3
7.8
6.3Q4
INDat the half: led 8 · within 3 in 3 · trailed 6 (of 17)
6.0
5.3Q1
7.9
7.8Q2
13.9scored13.1allowedleague 11.4
1st half
5.9
4.4Q3
5.8
7.5Q4
number above the line = scored (solid bar) · below = allowed (striped)league averageLeague per team: Q1 4.6 · Q2 6.8 · Q3 4.8 · Q4 6.5
We don't carry first-half or quarter lines yet, so there is no market number beside these. Overtime is left out. History, not a forecast.
SeasonBoth teams' record, scoring and recent results this season; green marks the better side.◷History
LARIND
7-9
Record
12-6
21.8
Points for / game
25.4
22.8
Points against / game
23.5
5-3 / 2-6
Home / road
7-2 / 5-4
L W W L L
Last 5
L W W W W
2013 season only (not a rolling window) · 16–18 games each.
EfficiencyHow well each offense moves the ball and each defense stops it; green marks the better side.◷History
LARIND
-0.077
EPA / play (offense)Expected points added per offensive play. The single best efficiency number.
0.029
-0.010
EPA / play allowed
0.037
210
Pass yards / game
263
110
Rush yards / game
106
263
Pass yards allowed
252
103
Rush yards allowed
133
1.1 / 2.2
Turnovers / takeaways
1.1 / 2.0
2.3 / 3.3
Sacks allowed / made
2.0 / 2.6
15.4
First downs / game
17.9
63
Penalty yards / game
35
−2.6 · #33 of 46
QB EPA / gameThis week's starter's passing + rushing EPA per game, ranked among starters with three or more games.
+3.7 · #15 of 46
2013 season to date · 16–18 games each.
SituationsHow each team has done in a specific situation over the last two seasons. A tendency, not a prediction.◷History
LARIND
10-15-1 · 40%
Outright wins as underdogStraight-up upsets pulled off when the market had them losing.
11-8 · 58%
Last two seasons (2012–2013), LAR 32 games, IND 35. Tendencies, not predictions.
Head to head · since 2012Past meetings: series record, average total points and each final score.◷History
5LARseriesIND0
Avg total points
50.2
Meetings
5
Not division rivals — the schedule brings them together every few seasons (5 of the 15 seasons in our history). LAR have won the last 5.
2025IND 20 at LAR 27LAR
2023LAR 29 at IND 23LAR
2021LAR 27 at IND 24LAR
2017IND 9 at LAR 46LAR
2013LAR 38 at IND 8LAR
Schedule strengthSchedule strength, rank of 32 (1 = hardest): opponents faced, teams beaten and games ahead. Early-season ranks swing. 2026 season only: no earlier games count.◷History
Lines are the market's, from the sportsbooks we track. This page is data only: the model's read of the game is its own page, linked under the market. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jared CookTE8617.1%
Chris GivensWR8316.5%
Tavon AustinWR6913.7%
Austin PettisWR6312.5%
Lance KendricksTE469.1%
Zac StacyRB357.0%
Brian QuickWR346.8%
Stedman BaileyWR255.0%
Daryl RichardsonRB183.6%
Cory HarkeyTE183.6%
Isaiah PeadRB153.0%
Benny CunninghamRB102.0%
Mike McNeillTE10.2%
T.Y. HiltonWR16224.5%
Coby FleenerTE10515.9%
Darrius Heyward-BeyWR649.7%
Reggie WayneWR588.8%
Griff WhalenWR538.0%
Donald BrownRB426.3%
Trent RichardsonRB416.2%
LaVon BrazillWR406.0%
Da'Rick RogersWR294.4%
Stanley HaviliFB243.6%
Weslye SaundersTE111.7%
Jack DoyleTE91.4%
Ahmad BradshawRB81.2%
David ReedWR30.5%
Dominique JonesTE30.5%
Dwayne AllenTE20.3%
Vick BallardRB20.3%
Robert HughesRB20.3%
Dan HerronRB10.2%
Tashard ChoiceRB10.2%
Chris RaineyRB10.2%
Justice CunninghamTE10.2%
Los Angeles Rams2024–25 seasons
Indianapolis Colts2024–25 seasons
